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New National Poll Donald Trump Twice As Popular As Mitch McConnell

Donald Trump

There has been a lot of news lately about the favorability ratings of President Trump. It seems that many voters are unhappy with the job he has done since he took office over six months ago. However, another way of looking at the situation is to compare the popularity of the President to other prominent Republican’s.

In a recent poll conducted by Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, nearly 2,000 people responded to the poll. Of those participants, 82% stated they definitely would vote in the 2018 midterm elections and 95% stated they would definitely vote in the 2020 presidential election which indicates these are, overall, politically interested citizens. Of those who participated, 52% identified as Democrats and 48% identified as Republican.

The results of the poll show that President Trump has a 44% total approval rating with 29% of the people strongly approving of the job he is doing as president. This might not seem high, but compare his favorable rating to Mitch McConnell, the Majority Leader in the Senate, has a favorability rating of 19%, less than half as good as the President’s.
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Vice President Mike Pence, another Republican in the national eye also has a favorable rating of 44%, which some might find somewhat distressing as most vice-presidents are allowed to fly under the radar—to mostly be seen and not heard. The Speaker of the House of Representatives, Paul Ryan has a favorable rating of just 31% nationally while Ted Cruz, the Texas Senator who ran for president against Donald Trump has an overall favorability of 25% of the poll participants.

Finally, in an effort to be fair, John Kasich is a nationally prominent Republican who has often been referred to as being presidential, and some refer to as the man who should have earned the Republican nomination for president for the 2016 election. Mr. Kasich, the governor of Ohio, has an overall approval rating of just 32%.

Perhaps it is not that Donald Trump is unpopular. Perhaps he is a member of a party that is not popular right now. Or, perhaps the other members of the President’s party are dragging his approval down as he works with them to accomplish his agenda. No matter the cause, it is possible that Donald Trump is currently the most popular Republican in the United States right now. and paste this code on your site.

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                                                             AUGUST 6, 2017

INTERVIEWS: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870

Questions concerning methodology can be sent to doug@gravismarketing.com.

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,917 individuals. The poll was conducted from July 21st through the 31st and has a margin of error of ±2.2%.  The poll was conducted using a web survey of cell phone users, with the results weighted by voting demographics.  The poll was conducted on behalf of the Orlando Political Observer.

Q1     What is your gender?

Female............................................................... 52% Male.................................................................... 48%

Q5     Into which category does your total annual household income fall?

Under $30,000................................................... 13% $30,000 to $50,000............................................ 22% $50,000 to $100,000……................................... 32%

$100,000 to $150,000…………………….....…17%

Over $150,000…………….………………….…...11%

Uncertain…………............................................ 5%

 

Q2     How old are you?

18-24……......................................................... 10%

25-34................................................................. 12%

35-44…………....………………...…………...15%

45-54……......................................................... 19%

55-64................................................................. 22%

65+………………………………………….....19%

Would rather not say……................................... 1%

Q6     Do you attend religious services more than once per month?

No......................................................................63% Yes…................................................................. 37%

Q3    What race do you identify yourself as?

White or Caucasian........................................... 65%

Hispanic or Latino............................................. 12%

Black or African-American............................... 12%

Biracial or multiracial………………………..……5%

Would rather not say………………...........……….5%

Asian or Pacific Islander………..…………………1%

Q7     What is your party affiliation?

Democrat........................................................... 40%

Republican........................................................ 33% Independent...................................................... 23%

Member of another party..................................... 4%

Q4     Are you a college graduate?

No……….......................................................... 47%

Yes..................................................................... 53%

Q8     How likely are you to vote in the elections for Congress to be held in November 2018?

Definitely will.................................................... 82%

Probably will..................................................... 10% Might or might not............................................... 5%

Probably will not................................................. 2%

Definitely will not…............................................ 1%

 

 

Q9     How likely are you to vote in the Presidential election to be held in November 2020?

Definitely will.................................................... 95%

Probably will....................................................... 3% Might or might not............................................... 2%

Probably will not............................................... <1%

Definitely will not….......................................... <1%

Q12   Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

Strongly approve............................................... 29%

Somewhat approve............................................ 15%

Don’t know.......................................................... 2%

Somewhat disapprove.......................................... 5%

Strongly disapprove.......................................... 49%

Total approve………………...…………..……44%

Total disapprove…….……………….……………54%

Q10   How likely are you to vote in the Presidential primary election or caucus to be held in your state in the first half of 2020?

Definitely will.................................................... 81%

Probably will.............................................. 11% Might or might not.............................................. 5%

Probably will not................................................. 2%

Definitely will not…............................................ 1%

Q13   Did you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama did as President?

Strongly approve............................................... 34%

Somewhat approve............................................ 19%

Don’t know.......................................................... 0%

Somewhat disapprove.......................................... 9%

Strongly disapprove.......................................... 38%

Total approve…………………………….……53%

Total disapprove…….…………….………………47%

Q11   Which party’s primary or caucus are you more likely to participate in?

Democrat........................................................... 52%

Republican........................................................ 48%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Donald Trump?

Very favorable................................................... 29%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 15%

Somewhat unfavorable........................................ 4%

Very unfavorable............................................... 50%

No opinion, but heard of the person.................... 1%

Never heard of the person………….................... 0%

No response……………………………....…………0%

Total favorable……...…………………………….44%

Total unfavorable………….……………………...54%

 

 

 

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Mike Pence?

Very favorable................................................... 30%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 14%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 10%

Very unfavorable............................................... 38%

No opinion, but heard of the person.................... 7%

Never heard of the person…………..................... 1%

No response……………………………....…………1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….44%

Total unfavorable………….………………….…..48%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Donald Trump Jr.?

Very favorable..................................................... 0%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 18%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 19%

Very unfavorable................................................. 7%

No opinion, but heard of the person................... 45%

Never heard of the person………....................... 10%

No response…………….………..…………....……1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….18%

Total unfavorable………….……………….……..26%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Melania Trump?

Very favorable................................................... 31%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 17%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 15%

Very unfavorable............................................... 21%

No opinion, but heard of the person................... 15%

Never heard of the person…………..................... 1%

No response…………………………………..…0%

Total favorable……...…………………………….48%

Total unfavorable………….…………….………..36%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Paul Ryan?

Very favorable..................................................... 8%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 23%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 18%

Very unfavorable............................................... 41%

No opinion, but heard of the person..................... 8%

Never heard of the person………......................... 2%

No response………………………………..……1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….31%

Total unfavorable………….……………………...59%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Jared Kushner?

Very favorable..................................................... 1%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 10%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 18%

Very unfavorable............................................... 12%

No opinion, but heard of the person................... 34%

Never heard of the person………....................... 13%

No response………….………………....…………12%

Total favorable……...…………………………….11%

Total unfavorable………….……………….……..30%

 

 

 

 

 

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Mitch McConnell?

Very favorable..................................................... 3%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 16%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 17%

Very unfavorable............................................... 43%

No opinion, but heard of the person.................. 13%

Never heard of the person………........................ 8%

                No response……………………………..…….…1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….19%

                Total unfavorable………….………..……………..60%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward John Kasich?

Very favorable..................................................... 7%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 25%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 22%

Very unfavorable............................................... 20%

No opinion, but heard of the person.................. 15%

Never heard of the person…..……....................... 8%

No response………………………………..……2%

Total favorable……...…………………………….32%

Total unfavorable………….……………….……..42%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Nancy Pelosi?

Very favorable................................................... 10%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 19%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 12%

Very unfavorable............................................... 46%

No opinion, but heard of the person..................... 7%

Never heard of the person………......................... 5%

No response………………………………..……1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….29%

Total unfavorable………….……….……………..58%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Ted Cruz?

Very favorable................................................... 12%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 23%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 14%

Very unfavorable............................................... 40%

No opinion, but heard of the person..................... 8%

Never heard of the person…..……....................... 2%

No response………………………………..……1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….35%

Total unfavorable………….………………….…..54%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Chuck Schumer?

Very favorable................................................... 11%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 19%

Somewhat unfavorable........................................ 9%

Very unfavorable............................................... 34%

No opinion, but heard of the person.................. 16%

Never heard of the person………....................... 10%

No response………………………………..……2%

Total favorable…………...……………………….30%

Total unfavorable…………….….………………..43%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Barack Obama?

Very favorable................................................... 39%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 14%

Somewhat unfavorable........................................ 7%

Very unfavorable............................................... 39%

No opinion, but heard of the person..................... 0%

Never heard of the person…..……....................... 1%

No response………………………………..……1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….53%

Total unfavorable………….…………….………..46%

 



 

 

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Joe Biden?

Very favorable................................................... 35%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 18%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 14%

Very unfavorable............................................... 27%

No opinion, but heard of the person..................... 4%

Never heard of the person…..……....................... 0%

No response………………………………..……1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….53%

Total unfavorable………….………….…………..41%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward Bernie Sanders?

Very favorable................................................... 24%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 23%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 11%

Very unfavorable............................................... 36%

No opinion, but heard of the person..................... 4%

Never heard of the person…..……....................... 0%

No response………………………………..……1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….47%

Total unfavorable………….……………….……..47%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward the Republican Party?

Very favorable................................................... 11%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 24%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 21%

Very unfavorable............................................... 40%

No opinion, but heard of the person.................... 3%

Never heard of the person…..……....................... 0%

No response………………………………..……1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….35%

Total unfavorable………….………………….…..61%

Q14   How favorable or unfavorable are you toward the Democratic Party?

Very favorable................................................... 18%

Somewhat favorable.......................................... 28%

Somewhat unfavorable...................................... 13%

Very unfavorable............................................... 39%

No opinion, but heard of the person..................... 2%

Never heard of the person…..……....................... 1%

No response……………………………………..1%

Total favorable……...…………………………….46%

Total unfavorable………….…………….………..52%

Q15   If the 2018 election for House of Representatives were held today, for what party would you vote for in your district?

Democrat........................................................... 46%

Republican........................................................ 40%

Don’t know........................................................ 11%

Member of another party..................................... 3%

Q17   Will you definitely or probably vote for the Republican in your district? (Republicans only)

Definitely........................................................... 69%

Probably……………........................................ 31%

Q16   Will you definitely or probably vote for the Democrat in your district? (Democrats only)

Definitely........................................................... 80%

Probably……………........................................ 20%

Q18   If the 2020 presidential election were held today and the candidates Republican Donald Trump and the Democratic nominee, who would you vote for?

The Democratic nominee................................... 48%

Republican Donald Trump…………................ 39%

Don’t know………………………………...………13%

 

 

 

Q19   Will you definitely or probably vote for Donald Trump? (Republicans only)

Definitely……................................................... 81%

Probably............................................................ 19%

Q20   Will you definitely or probably vote for the Democratic Presidential nominee? (Democrats only)

Definitely……................................................... 75%

Probably............................................................ 25%

Q21   If the Democratic Party primary or caucus in your state were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:

Don’t know……................................................ 43%

Joe Biden........................................................... 21%

Mark Cuban…………..……………….………...7%

Kamala Harris……………………………………...6%

Cory Booker…………………………………….…..4%

Kirsten Gillibrand……………………………....2%

Andrew Cuomo………………….………………….1%

Amy Klobuchar…………………...…………….1%

Q22   For whom did you vote for President in 2012?

Barack Obama…….......................................... 50%

Mitt Romney...................................................... 47%

Didn’t vote………..………………………...…...8%

Someone else……………………………...……2%

Q23   For whom did you vote for President in 2008?

Barack Obama……………….…..................... 50%

John McCain..................................................... 38%

Didn’t vote………....……………………...…...12%

Someone else………………………….………...…..4%

Q24   Do you think the agreement the United States and other countries have with Iran is working?

Not working……............................................... 51%

Don’t know........................................................ 30%

Working……..…..………………………...…...20%

Q25   How much of a threat does North Korea represent to the United States?

Major threat……………..………………….... 58%

Minor threat…………………………………….... 19%

Immediate threat………..…………...…………...17%

Unsure……………..……………………….…….....4%

Not a threat……………………………..…...….2%

Q26   Do you think the United States should offer to negotiate with North Korea to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons which can reach the United States?

Yes…………..................................................... 50%

No…………...................................................... 28%

Unsure……………………………………………...22%

Q27   Should the United States attack North Korea to prevent it from developing nuclear weapons which can reach the United States?

Yes………………………………………..…...20%

No…………………………………………...... 50%

Unsure……………..……….……………………...31%

Q28   Do you think North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is rational or irrational?

Rational……....................................................... 3%

Irrational........................................................... 87%

Don’t know………...……………………………...11%

  

 

Q29   Where do you currently get your health insurance from?

Employer/Parent or spouse’s employer............. 56%

Medicare………............................................... 19%

Medicaid……………………………………..…...6%

I do not currently have health insurance……….. 6%

Other…............................................................... 5%

State insurance exchange…………..……………..4%

Military/Tricare………………………..……..……4%

Q30   Should healthy Americans subsidize health care costs for sick Americans?

To a small extent……........................................40%

To a large extent................................................ 28%

Not at all……..…..………..……...…….……...21%

Don’t know……………………………….………..11%

Q31   Should rich Americans subsidize health care costs for poor Americans?

To a small extent……........................................34%

To a large extent................................................ 39%

Not at all……..…..………..…………………...21%

Don’t know……………………..………….………..7%

Q32  What health care system do you prefer?

A single payer system where taxes pay for all healthcare......................................................... 34% The system before Obamacare……................. 31%

The current system under Obamacare………...15%

Don’t know…………………….……..……………14%

The system proposed by Congressional Republicans………………………………………....8%

Q33  What do you think is the most important problem with the current healthcare system?

Costs are too expensive……............................. 60%

Not enough people have insurance................... 13%

Undeserving people are subsidized……….…...10%

Something else…..…………..……………………10%

Don’t know…..…………………….…………….….4%

Poor quality of care………………………………..3%

Q34        What is the most important thing Congress can do to change the United States healthcare system?

Provide healthcare to more or all people…….. 37%

Reduce administrative costs............................. 28%

Subsidize fewer undeserving people................. 15%

Improve the quality of care............................... 11%

Don’t know....................................................... 10%

Q35        Is the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, better, worse, or about the same compared to the system in place before it became law?

Better................................................................ 41%

Worse................................................................ 43%

About the same.................................................... 9%

Unsure……………............................................... 7%

Q36     Who is most to blame for the collapse of the Republican efforts to “repeal and replace Obamacare”?

Republican leadership...................................... 42%

Republican Senators voting no.......................... 17%

President Trump...............................................  17%

Don’t know.......................................................  13%

Democrats in Congress…………………………..11%

 

 

 

Q37   Should Republicans work with Democrats to improve Obamacare’s private insurance markets?

Yes..................................................................... 68%

No……….......................................................... 23%

Don’t know……………..………………….…...10%

Q30   Should healthy Americans subsidize health care costs for sick Americans?

To a small extent……........................................40%

To a large extent................................................ 28%

Not at all……..…..………..…………………...21%

Don’t know………………………………….……..11%

Q38   How important do you think Donald Trump and his associates’ ties to Russia are as a political issue?

The most important issue……...........................19%

A major issue..................................................... 30%

A minor issue……..…..………………...……...10%

Not an issue……………………..…………..……..36%

Don’t know………………………………..…….5%

Q39  Do you think Donald Trump acted illegally, unethically, or did nothing wrong in his interactions with Russia during and after the presidential campaign?

Did nothing wrong............................................ 40% Illegally............................................................. 33%

Unethically……………………….………………..18%

Don’t know…………………………...…..…………9%

Q40  Do you think Donald Trump acted illegally, unethically, or did nothing wrong in his interactions with Russia during and after the presidential campaign?

Did nothing wrong............................................ 35% Illegally............................................................. 37%

Unethically…………………………….…………..17%

Don’t know……………………..…..…………..…11%

Q41        Which phrases best describes how Donald Trump Jr. acted in taking a meeting with a Russian attorney during the 2016 presidential campaign?

Did nothing wrong…………………...………. 35%

Acted illegally................................................... 30%

Acted unethically.............................................. 25%

Don’t know....................................................... 10%

Q42        Do you think Donald Trump is lying, spinning, or telling the truth when it comes to his ties to Russia?

Lying................................................................. 45%

Spinning.............................................................. 9%

Telling the truth................................................. 33%

Don’t know……………...................................... 12%

Q43     Which would you prefer?

Lower taxes....................................................... 64%

More government services................................ 26%

Don’t know.......................................................  10%

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? RICH PEOPLE

More................................................................. 60%

About the same.................................................. 23%

Less................................................................... 14%

5……………........................................................ 1%

Don’t know………………..………………………..3%

No response……………………………………..1%

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? UPPER MIDDLE CLASS

More................................................................. 24%

About the same.................................................. 45%

Less................................................................... 28%

5……………........................................................ 0%

Don’t know………………..………………….……..3%

No response……………………………………..0%

  

 

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? MIDDLE CLASS

More................................................................... 2%

About the same.................................................. 40%

Less................................................................... 55%

5……………........................................................ 0%

Don’t know………………..…………………….…..2%

No response……………………………………..0%

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? WORKING CLASS

More................................................................... 1%

About the same.................................................. 31%

Less................................................................... 64%

5……………........................................................ 0%

Don’t know………………..………………….……..2%

No response……………………………………..1%

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? POOR PEOPLE

More................................................................... 5%

About the same................................................. 31%

Less................................................................... 60%

5……………........................................................ 1%

Don’t know………………..…………………….…..3%

No response……………………………………..0%

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? LARGE BUSINESS OWNERS

More.......................................................... 56%

About the same......................................... 23%

Less.......................................................... 14%

5……………................................................ 1%

Don’t know………………..…………………..3%

No response…………………………………..1%

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? SMALL BUSINESS OWNERS

More................................................................... 2%

About the same................................................. 32%

Less................................................................... 62%

5……………........................................................ 0%

Don’t know………………..…………………….…..3%

No response……………………………………..0%

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? INVESTORS

More................................................................. 38%

About the same.................................................. 34%

Less................................................................... 20%

5……………........................................................ 1%

Don’t know………………..………………….……..6%

No response……………………………………..1%

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? HOMEOWNERS

More................................................................... 3%

About the same.................................................. 46%

Less................................................................... 47%

5……………........................................................ 1%

Don’t know………………..………………….……..3%

No response……………………………………..0%

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? LARGE INHERITANCES

More................................................................. 34%

About the same.................................................. 33%

Less................................................................... 27%

5……………........................................................ 1%

Don’t know……………………...…………………..6%

No response……………………………………..0%

 

Q44        You will now see a list of classes of people, for each one please state if they should pay more taxes, less taxes, or about the same amount of taxes? EMPLOYESS

More................................................................... 3%

About the same.................................................. 40%

Less................................................................... 53%

5……………........................................................ 0%

Don’t know………………….…..…………………..3%

No response………………,,,,…………………..1%

Q45        What is your zip code?

Urban................................................................ 33%

Suburban...........................................................49%

Rural…............................................................. 18%

 

 

 

 

Doug Kaplan: Doug is a national pollster, political consultant, and advertising expert. Doug Kaplan is President and Founder of Gravis Marketing and Orlandopolitics.com, The Orlando Political Observer. Doug Kaplan can be reached at Doug@orlandopolitics.com