Tag Archive for herman cain

Political Stocks: Who's up, Who's Down, in O-Town – Campaign Kickoff Edition

We haven’t done Political Stocks in a long time but, with primaries looming, and the big day less than 6 months out, it’s time to start keeping score.

Here are this weeks political stocks:

Who’s UP:

Mack IV: Connie Mack’s roller coaster campaign appears to be on the upswing. He’s opened up a big lead against his primary opponent, former Senator George Lemieux in the polls, CFO Jeff Atwater passed on standing up his own campaign on short notice and he’s was endorsed by Michele Bachmann last week. Former Attorney General Bill McCullom also appears be lining up behind Mack. That being said…

Will McCullom endorse Mack IV today?

Bill Nelson: Nelson watched his lead in the polls increase over both of his potential opponents. The Presidential rotation swinging through the state has allowed the Senator to piggyback off of their visits to get the electorate excited. And he won’t have to take his jacket off for a campaign fight for another 4 months.

Orange County Commissioner Scott Boyd: With no serious opposition lining up against the commissioner in district 1 and fundraising coming along nicely, could “the quiet guy on the left” be looking at easy re-election.

Holding Steady:

Florida Senator Marco Rubio and New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte: The two younger names in the Mitt Romney Veepstakes have both been receiving heavy media coverage over the last week.

Rubio’s unauthorized biography was well received, despite concerns that his questioned family history could spill over into consideration for the VP nod.

The issue of his age and experience has been leading the conversation recently, and that wasn’t the case a month ago. He was on Fox News Sunday laying out his legislative experience in Tallahassee but moderator Chris Wallace said he was 41 and looked 35. other critics have asked if he’s ready to step into oval office if needed.

New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte has been another name repeated by pundits. On Meet The Press she said that she believed she was more experience than Barack Obama when he took office. Is she the darkhorse?

Who’s DOWN:

Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer: The Mayor has had a rough go at it since re-election. He’s been dissed for rising burglaries in the city by rivals and the media. And once again Orange County Mayor Teresa Jacobs has called out the city for not keeping it’s end of the bargain with Citrus Bowl renovations. These are the stories that keep a lawmaker from being elected to higher office.. like Governor

The biggest thorn in Dyer’s side is the calculator Jacobs keeps at hers.

Congressional Democratic Candidates in Central Florida: Quick! Besides Alan Grayson, name another Democrat running for Congress in Central Florida. …. exactly.

Herman Cain: Oh, how the mighty have fallen. The Presidency V winner started campaigning here about a year ago and it feels like he’s never left. Now he’s awarding awkward endorsements and running a bizarre barnstorming tour.

Political Stocks: Who’s up, Who’s Down, in O-Town – Campaign Kickoff Edition

We haven’t done Political Stocks in a long time but, with primaries looming, and the big day less than 6 months out, it’s time to start keeping score.

Here are this weeks political stocks:

Who’s UP:

Mack IV: Connie Mack’s roller coaster campaign appears to be on the upswing. He’s opened up a big lead against his primary opponent, former Senator George Lemieux in the polls, CFO Jeff Atwater passed on standing up his own campaign on short notice and he’s was endorsed by Michele Bachmann last week. Former Attorney General Bill McCullom also appears be lining up behind Mack. That being said…

Will McCullom endorse Mack IV today?

Bill Nelson: Nelson watched his lead in the polls increase over both of his potential opponents. The Presidential rotation swinging through the state has allowed the Senator to piggyback off of their visits to get the electorate excited. And he won’t have to take his jacket off for a campaign fight for another 4 months.

Orange County Commissioner Scott Boyd: With no serious opposition lining up against the commissioner in district 1 and fundraising coming along nicely, could “the quiet guy on the left” be looking at easy re-election.

Holding Steady:

Florida Senator Marco Rubio and New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte: The two younger names in the Mitt Romney Veepstakes have both been receiving heavy media coverage over the last week.

Rubio’s unauthorized biography was well received, despite concerns that his questioned family history could spill over into consideration for the VP nod.

The issue of his age and experience has been leading the conversation recently, and that wasn’t the case a month ago. He was on Fox News Sunday laying out his legislative experience in Tallahassee but moderator Chris Wallace said he was 41 and looked 35. other critics have asked if he’s ready to step into oval office if needed.

New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte has been another name repeated by pundits. On Meet The Press she said that she believed she was more experience than Barack Obama when he took office. Is she the darkhorse?

Who’s DOWN:

Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer: The Mayor has had a rough go at it since re-election. He’s been dissed for rising burglaries in the city by rivals and the media. And once again Orange County Mayor Teresa Jacobs has called out the city for not keeping it’s end of the bargain with Citrus Bowl renovations. These are the stories that keep a lawmaker from being elected to higher office.. like Governor

The biggest thorn in Dyer’s side is the calculator Jacobs keeps at hers.

Congressional Democratic Candidates in Central Florida: Quick! Besides Alan Grayson, name another Democrat running for Congress in Central Florida. …. exactly.

Herman Cain: Oh, how the mighty have fallen. The Presidency V winner started campaigning here about a year ago and it feels like he’s never left. Now he’s awarding awkward endorsements and running a bizarre barnstorming tour.

Long, Melendez, Oxner Debate for CD 9 in Kissimmee

Thursday night, in front of about 50 people at the Kissimmee Utility Authority, Attorney/Author Todd Long, School Board Member/War Vet Julius Melendez, and Businessman Mark Oxner kicked off this year’s Congressional Debate Season.

Todd Long, Julius Melendez, and Mark Oxner kicked off the debate season in front of a smaller audience last night

The debate was at time tense, as the three candidates faced off on the economy, education, and immigration. All questions came from the bi-partisan audience while each candidate shared the same general platform. They didn’t hesitate taking jabs at each other in making their case, that they should be the Republican to take on former Congressman Alan Grayson, in the newly drawn Hispanic leaning district.

Let’s breakdown each candidate’s performance.

Julius Melendez:

Mr. Melendez came out swinging last night. He delivered his message effectively and pointed out solutions such as, consolidating redundant services on the federal level and stating that everyone is pro-legal immigration. He spoke about his experiences on the school board and his personal history that saw him take the hard route through community college, UCF, then the military.

He also took a few shots at his rival Todd Long and there were sound bytes.

“I don’t make all of the money that Todd does”
“Todd, district 9 is different from district 8 but you wouldn’t know that because you don’t live in district 9″
“Osceola County has always been the stepchild to Orange County, I want to be the first Congressman from Osceola County

He did catch a snag over a question concerning conflict of interest with House Representatives owning stock in businesses regulated by the government but, moved on quickly.

He was the aggressor last night but, still got his points across. His jabs at Long were unprovoked but Alan Grayson attacks unprovoked all of the time (more on that later).

Could Melendez deliver the media friendly debate with Alan Grayson that never was in 2010?

If nominated, could this candidate deliver the debate fireworks the media never got in 2010?

Todd Long:

This isn’t Long’s first rodeo. He defended himself against Melendez’s attacks and pushed his constitutional conservative values that have made him an anti-establishment favorite over the last few years.

He concentrated on the Democrats in Washington and Obamacare. He pointed out that immigration laws like the one in Arizona won’t work if they’re not enforced, and he promoted E-verify. He talked about term limits that would reduce the damge ineffective law makers do. He didn’t exclude his own party, pointing out that both sides were responsible for the mess in Washington, and would use the examples of the founding fathers and constitution to guide him if elected.

He did promote 999 and some of Herman Cain’s talking points. Cain did endorse him and campaigned for Long last week but, 999 never had the chance to be thoroughly vetted. If he’s going to push an alternative to the tax code, then he should stick to the Fair Tax or other reform measures.

Long has high name ID, will this be the year he jumps the primary hurdle?

Long runs strong campaigns, he’ll be there till the end.

Mark Oxner:

Businessman Mark Oxner did fine last night. He steered clear of the Melendez-Long exchanges and came across likeable with some good ideas.

He talked about cutting Congressional pensions and benefits (try finding a voter that would fight that),he brought up that the way to win over independents and minorities are to talk about the energy and education challenges facing the country, and he used his family as an example of how legal immigration can work.

Oxner debated well last night but can he get his name in front of the voters?

Oxner currently lacks name ID and is at the back of the pack at this point. However, if he can raise money, that could change.

One big question from last night was, Where was John “Q” Quinones?

The Osceola County Board Chairman and former State Representative did not attend last night’s debate and had no presence there. There could be a couple of explanations. He has been running for less than a month. Perhaps, his campaign infrastructure is still taking shape. Is there a strategical reason? In 2010, Grayson foe, Daniel Webster only debated a couple of times during the primary, and didn’t debate at all in the general election en route to his easy victory over Grayson. Critics might question Quinones familiarity with national issues but it’s too early to tell.

The likely Democratic nominee Alan Grayson did make his presence felt last night. He released an email blast with a nasty Herman Cain message. Grayson called Cain a “failure at pizza” and the tone of the email implied Long being his biggest competitor at this point.

Long not only dealt with opposition at the debate last night but also an Alan Grayson email blast, slamming his friend Herman Cain.

An eventful night that effected all of the campaigns involved. The three that participated in last night’s debate, even and some that didn’t

Dueling Endorsements: Bachmann backs Mack, Cain Chooses Lemieux

Two former Presidential candidates chose sides today, in the GOP Florida Senate Primary.

Former frontrunner and GodFather’s Pizza CEO Herman Cain endorsed former Senator George Lemieux last Friday night at Lincoln Day dinner in Hernando County. The nod was caught on video and comes across a tad awkward.

Cain mentioned that Lemieux didn’t know he was going to do that. Still, an endorsement is an endorsement and the lone major candidate still in the race from a year ago can use every push he can get.

His opponent and frontrunner Congressman Connie Mack had another endorsement already in the hopper, to counter with.

Another former frontrunner, Tea party Favorite, and fellow House Representative Michele Bachmann endorsed Mack in announcement made this afternoon.

You can argue which endorsement is bigger.

Herman Cain won Presidency V here in Orlando and has been endorsing candidates all over the state, like Craig Miller in his House District 6 race and he was in town last week campaigning with Todd Long who is running in district 9. His controversial exit from the race amidst allegations of harassment could turn off some.

Michele Bachmann came in last at Presidency V. In fact, she didn’t campaign very hard in the Sunshine State and it costed her dearly. However, after her exit, Bachmann is still held in high regard by the Tea Party movement and on capitol hill.

The eventual winner, be it Connie Mack or George Lemieux faces an uphill climb against sitting Democratic Senator Bill Nelson. Poll numbers are giving him a comfortable lead over both candidates.

Bachmann endorsed her fellow Representative Connie Mack in the Florida GOP Senate Contest

Long, Melendez, Oxner Debate for CD 9 in Kissimmee

Thursday night, in front of about 50 people at the Kissimmee Utility Authority, Attorney/Author Todd Long, School Board Member/War Vet Julius Melendez, and Businessman Mark Oxner kicked off this year’s Congressional Debate Season.

Todd Long, Julius Melendez, and Mark Oxner kicked off the debate season in front of a smaller audience last night

The debate was at time tense, as the three candidates faced off on the economy, education, and immigration. All questions came from the bi-partisan audience while each candidate shared the same general platform. They didn’t hesitate taking jabs at each other in making their case, that they should be the Republican to take on former Congressman Alan Grayson, in the newly drawn Hispanic leaning district.

Let’s breakdown each candidate’s performance.

Julius Melendez:

Mr. Melendez came out swinging last night. He delivered his message effectively and pointed out solutions such as, consolidating redundant services on the federal level and stating that everyone is pro-legal immigration. He spoke about his experiences on the school board and his personal history that saw him take the hard route through community college, UCF, then the military.

He also took a few shots at his rival Todd Long and there were sound bytes.

“I don’t make all of the money that Todd does”
“Todd, district 9 is different from district 8 but you wouldn’t know that because you don’t live in district 9″
“Osceola County has always been the stepchild to Orange County, I want to be the first Congressman from Osceola County

He did catch a snag over a question concerning conflict of interest with House Representatives owning stock in businesses regulated by the government but, moved on quickly.

He was the aggressor last night but, still got his points across. His jabs at Long were unprovoked but Alan Grayson attacks unprovoked all of the time (more on that later).

Could Melendez deliver the media friendly debate with Alan Grayson that never was in 2010?

If nominated, could this candidate deliver the debate fireworks the media never got in 2010?

Todd Long:

This isn’t Long’s first rodeo. He defended himself against Melendez’s attacks and pushed his constitutional conservative values that have made him an anti-establishment favorite over the last few years.

He concentrated on the Democrats in Washington and Obamacare. He pointed out that immigration laws like the one in Arizona won’t work if they’re not enforced, and he promoted E-verify. He talked about term limits that would reduce the damge ineffective law makers do. He didn’t exclude his own party, pointing out that both sides were responsible for the mess in Washington, and would use the examples of the founding fathers and constitution to guide him if elected.

He did promote 999 and some of Herman Cain’s talking points. Cain did endorse him and campaigned for Long last week but, 999 never had the chance to be thoroughly vetted. If he’s going to push an alternative to the tax code, then he should stick to the Fair Tax or other reform measures.

Long has high name ID, will this be the year he jumps the primary hurdle?

Long runs strong campaigns, he’ll be there till the end.

Mark Oxner:

Businessman Mark Oxner did fine last night. He steered clear of the Melendez-Long exchanges and came across likeable with some good ideas.

He talked about cutting Congressional pensions and benefits (try finding a voter that would fight that),he brought up that the way to win over independents and minorities are to talk about the energy and education challenges facing the country, and he used his family as an example of how legal immigration can work.

Oxner debated well last night but can he get his name in front of the voters?

Oxner currently lacks name ID and is at the back of the pack at this point. However, if he can raise money, that could change.

One big question from last night was, Where was John “Q” Quinones?

The Osceola County Board Chairman and former State Representative did not attend last night’s debate and had no presence there. There could be a couple of explanations. He has been running for less than a month. Perhaps, his campaign infrastructure is still taking shape. Is there a strategical reason? In 2010, Grayson foe, Daniel Webster only debated a couple of times during the primary, and didn’t debate at all in the general election en route to his easy victory over Grayson. Critics might question Quinones familiarity with national issues but it’s too early to tell.

The likely Democratic nominee Alan Grayson did make his presence felt last night. He released an email blast with a nasty Herman Cain message. Grayson called Cain a “failure at pizza” and the tone of the email implied Long being his biggest competitor at this point.

Long not only dealt with opposition at the debate last night but also an Alan Grayson email blast, slamming his friend Herman Cain.

An eventful night that effected all of the campaigns involved. The three that participated in last night’s debate, even and some that didn’t

Dueling Endorsements: Bachmann backs Mack, Cain Chooses Lemieux

Two former Presidential candidates chose sides today, in the GOP Florida Senate Primary.

Former frontrunner and GodFather’s Pizza CEO Herman Cain endorsed former Senator George Lemieux last Friday night at Lincoln Day dinner in Hernando County. The nod was caught on video and comes across a tad awkward.

Cain mentioned that Lemieux didn’t know he was going to do that. Still, an endorsement is an endorsement and the lone major candidate still in the race from a year ago can use every push he can get.

His opponent and frontrunner Congressman Connie Mack had another endorsement already in the hopper, to counter with.

Another former frontrunner, Tea party Favorite, and fellow House Representative Michele Bachmann endorsed Mack in announcement made this afternoon.

You can argue which endorsement is bigger.

Herman Cain won Presidency V here in Orlando and has been endorsing candidates all over the state, like Craig Miller in his House District 6 race and he was in town last week campaigning with Todd Long who is running in district 9. His controversial exit from the race amidst allegations of harassment could turn off some.

Michele Bachmann came in last at Presidency V. In fact, she didn’t campaign very hard in the Sunshine State and it costed her dearly. However, after her exit, Bachmann is still held in high regard by the Tea Party movement and on capitol hill.

The eventual winner, be it Connie Mack or George Lemieux faces an uphill climb against sitting Democratic Senator Bill Nelson. Poll numbers are giving him a comfortable lead over both candidates.

Bachmann endorsed her fellow Representative Connie Mack in the Florida GOP Senate Contest

Herman Cain Campaigns with Todd Long in Orlando

Former GOP Presidential frontrunner and Conservative favorite Herman Cain was in town Wednesday to campaign with his friend and Congressional candidate Todd Long.

The Godfather’s Pizza founder and Presidency V Winner gave a brief press conference across the street from the Amway center and took time to speak with supporters. He predicted victory for Orlando (the Magic won 102-95) and took in the game with Long after the event.

Todd Long is running in the newly drawn 9th Congressional district. This is the seat former Controversial Representative Alan Grayson has declared for. Long is an attorney, author, and radio show host.

He faces opposition from former State Rep. and Osceola Commissioner John “Q” Quinones, School Board member and Army Vet Julian Melendez, and Businessman Mark Oxner in the GOP primary.

Cain held a brief press conference before heading into the Amway Center

Todd Long with former GOP frontrunner Herman Cain

Tuesday Knocks Newt Out. Gingrich to Suspend Campaign

Newt Gingrich’s campaign is finally down for good.

After a run that saw his candidacy come back from the dead twice, the former speaker of the house will suspend his campaign next Tuesday, after losing all five primaries to GOP frontrunner and eventual nominee Mitt Romney last night.

First was his campaign meltdown that saw the majority of his staff resign. Citing Gingrich as difficult to work with and facing a substantial deficit in the polls, a mass exodus occurred that had many believing that was the end of his young campaign.

That was last summer

Second was his lack of traction with the voters. Other frontrunners came and went and many were asking why he was still in the race.

That was last fall.

Gingrich would revive his efforts during the televised debates where he gained ground in the polls not by attacking his opponents, but the moderators and mainstream media. One memorable moment was when he slammed CNN’s John King over questions about his marital past.

That would lead to Gingrich’s rise to the polls. He became Mitt Romney’s biggest competitor and won the South Carolina Primary. And along with his anger directed at the media, he touted a positive past with Reagan and working with Bill Clinton during his time as speaker.

Then came Florida and it all came to a grinding halt.

Gingrich wanted a Moon Base in 8 years. His act of aggression during the debates got old and he was slammed by Florida Senator Marco Rubio, for his immigration attacks on Mitt Romney. He lost by double digits and it was mostly down hill from there.

His only other victory would come in his home state of Georgia. He would lose the other Southern Evangelicals to Rick Santorum and the path to victory became hazier.

He laid off a third of this staff and started using language that set the foundation for today’s an exit. Delaware was his last hope and was lost last night, along with the other four states. He was mathematically eliminated long before that.

There’s hardly any reason to worry about Newt.

Despite massive campaign debt, Gingrich will likely go back on the speaking circuit and write another book. His price per appearance will likely go up and he’ll be out of the woods in no time.

If there is one aspect of this announcement that Newt Supporters can find solace in, it’s that he fought as long as he could and demonstrated that biting back at the media from time to time can be effective energizing a conservative base.

Gingrich's campaign came back from the dead twice and he was a frontrunner at one point

Santorum can Leave Race with No Regrets

Rick Santorum suspended his campaign for President today, all but sealing the nomination for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.

Dealing with the recent hospitalization of his young daughter, a double digit deficit in his home state of Pennsylvania and a dwindling war chest, it was finally time for the former Senator to stand aside.

He can walk away with his head held high. Let me explain.

Santorum greatly exceeded expectations. There isn’t an honest analyst (including myself) that was taking this guy seriously six months ago.

6 months ago this guy was out in Siberia (the far left podiums) during debates.

He was on the stump in front of dozens, not hundreds of voters.

At Presidency V here in Orlando, he had to crash an after party at the Tilted Kilt on I-Drive because, he didn’t have enough supporters for his own event.

He was polling like a dairy product at %2 last Halloween.

He stuck around.

You can call it a lack of enthusiasm in the field, poor vetting by party leadership, bad campaign management but, the others fair-weather frontrunners fell.

The Cain Train was derailed by allegations of infidelity. Bachmann bailed after a last place finish in Iowa. Rick Perry? Please! And Gingrich could not sustain his campaign through criticizing the media alone.

Santorum stayed the course and barnstormed through every county in Iowa. He couldn’t afford to drive the campaign bus the whole time so traveled by SUV. He shook as many hands as possible and went hunting with the natives.

He would win Iowa…eventually.

He became the real “Romney alternative”. There was plenty of passion for his social conservative views but, it scared away the moderates and he couldn’t win in those mid-western states that might have stopped Romney’s momentum.

That momentum started right here in Florida, where Romney also won by double digits.

He couldn’t risk losing his home state. It not only would have been a major loss in the delegate count column but, if you can’t win your state in your party’s primary, how are you going to take it in the General? It would have been an embarrassing defeat that would add insult to the injuries his campaign has suffered.

Santorum made the right call today. He’ll get the normal “atta boy” pats on the shoulder and a great speaking time slot at the convention but that won’t matter.

He earned the admiration of many who didn’t even know he existed when his campaign started. And when you were suppose to be a non-factor, that’s something to be proud of.

Santorum exceeded everyone's expectations during his run for the nomination.

District 6 Battle Royal Heating Up. Costello hits Trail. McCullom Endorses Miller. Slough Declares.

With no “Game-changing” big names jumping into the race, the newly drawn Florida Congressional district 6 has attracted a platoon of candidates, that have started to step up their efforts to get the nod from voters to represent them in Washington.

Headlines from the papers and blogs show some going on the offensive.

State Rep and Former Ormond Beach Mayor Fred Costello is sweeping through Volusia County over the next couple of days, holding town halls in Deland and Ormond Beach. He wraps up his week on that fine public affairs program Political Connections.

Fred Costello will be talking to voters this week and appearing on CF News 13 Political Connections

Former Senate candidate, D24 candidate, and former Ruth Chris CEO Craig “Medium Well” Miller pulled a major endorsement from former Attorney General Bill McCullom and announced it this morning. The well financed restauranteur is probably the most recognizable name in the race. He has lacked the ability to get the voters excited about his candidacy in the past, coming in 3rd in his 2010 primary and failing to gain traction in the Senate race this year. He ads McCullom’s endorsement to his list of supporters including his former Pizza Flipping Pal, former Prez Hopeful Herman Cain.

The former AG endorsed Miller this week

There are a pair of Navy Vets running for the seat. Attorney/Author Ron Desantis and former John Mica Foe, Heather Beaven. With President Barack Obama on the ballot in November, a Democrat can be competitive in this slightly red district.

Could there be two Navy vets squaring off in the November?

St. Johns County School Board Chairwoman Beverly Slough announced her candidacy last week and will enjoy claiming deep roots in region.

Slough declared her candidacy last week.

There could also be others that jump into the contest as the year progresses. Could there be pretenders in this group? Doesn’t look like it but, until each of them qualifies through payment or petitions it’s all just talk. Sandy Adams and John Mica appear to be on a collision course and that means this district is up for grabs. And with the right message and campaign operation any of these potentials can win it.