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Orlando’s Top Ten Political Rivalries 2012: #1 The “Casey Race” Lawson Lamar vs. Jeff Ashton

Here we are, and we’re going to finish our rivalry series at the end of the year, with the announcement that kicked off Orlando Politics at the beginning of the year. The “Casey Race” for Orange-Osceola State Attorney between longtime incumbent Lawson Lamar and Casey Anthony Prosecutor Jeff Ashton.

Transcript:

Florida Politics with Frank Torres. And here we are, the number 1 political rivalry here in Orlando from 2012 and this one got started very early in the year. It started with a cold declaration on a freezing January morning in Downtown Orlando. It also involved the backdrop of a national story. A story that had the nation in front of it’s television for hours a day. The number political rivalry of 2012 is The “Casey Race”, the race for Orange-Osceola Attorney between incumbent Lawson Lamar and Casey Anthony Prosecutor Jeff Ashton. A bitter race, a race that ran high on emotions, alot of what happened behind the scenes of the biggest trial the nation has scene over the past few years and some finger pointing over the outcome of the trial. You’ll remember, Anthony accused of killing her young daughter. The trial landed right here in Orlando, you had new trucks parked on Orange Avenue for months covering this trial. And after the race was over Ashton retired. Then he announced he would run against his former boss Lamar on that January morning.

A lot of interesting angles in the race besides the Casey factor. You had one of Lamar’s own guys coming after him, after Ashton retired, he wrote a big and did the talk show circuit, “The View” and things like that. And the book sold well. He was everywhere. A movie was made after the book and he was casted by Rob Lowe. The movie comes out next month, check the dates, it’s around the anniversary of when Ashton announced.

More subplots. There were two other candidates. Defense attorney Yoerg Jager and fellow attorney from the state Attorney’s office Ryan Williams. They both jumped in the race, both ended up dropping out and each lined up behind opposing candidates. Williams behind Ashton, Jager behind Lamar. It also came down to a discussion over the efficiency of the office. Was the technology outdated? Were the attorneys overworked? Should the State Attorney try cases? Or was the role of the State Attorney to be a manager and administrator? And it would come down to that discussion.

Well who won? Well, Jeff Ashton won, but the story that makes this the number 1 rivalry isn’t just the fact that it’s the “Casey Race”. It wasn’t over the duties of the office. It was actually one of the events that happened the night of the election. After Ashton was the announced winner, Casey Anthony’s father George went to congratulate Ashton on his victory. I remember when I saw Anthony making his way to the party. No one knew what he was going to do. He actually arrived to the party and embraced Ashton. In a truly dramatic conclusion to the year’s biggest rivalry.

I wrote a blog post about this race. Did Jeff Ashton plan it all out? Did he know from the day he retired that he was going to challenge Lamar? And if he did, how carefully was it planned? From the media tour to taking the profits of that media tour and using it in the campaign. I believed he benefited from the celebrity status he got from the trial. But was it planned? Only he would be able to tell you. That’s why it was the biggest rivalry of the year and Jeff Ashton came out the winner.

It’s been great being able to deliver this rivalry series to you. Over the year, there are so many races, so much negative dialogue it’s difficult to pull them apart. These were the top races I believe were the biggest rivalries of the year, that had the most tense exchanges between candidates, and negative messages. I enjoyed bringing it to you. It’s been a great series. Before the year is over we’ll have our “Year in quotes” for Florida Politics with Frank Torres, I’ll see you next time!

LINKS TO THE REST OF THE TOP TEN:

10. Buddy Dyer vs. “The Field”
9. Connie Mack vs. Charlie Sheen
8. John Tegg vs. Jerry Demings
7. Scott Plakon vs. Karen Castor Dentel
6. Orange County Activists vs. The Orange County Commission
5. Charlie Crist vs. The Florida GOP
4. Chris Dorworth vs. The Media
3. Alan Grayson vs. Todd Long
2. Sandy Adams vs. John Mica

The race for Orange-Osceola State Attorney was the biggest political rivalry of the year

The race for Orange-Osceola State Attorney was the biggest political rivalry of the year

Thompson, Pena, Huckeba Big Winners Tuesday. Your Primary Elections Wrap-up

Tuesday night brought high drama with conclusions to Mica vs. Adams, Ashton vs Lamar, and just the beginning of Todd Long vs. Alan Grayson but there was a lot of other action out there.

Let’s break it all down.

Geraldine Thompson defeats Victoria Siplin.

A lot of anger over how this State Senate D12 primary contest was going. You had former State Rep. Geraldine Thompson running against Victoria Siplin, wife of Gary Siplin, the controversial termed out State Senator. Thompson was outfront in her campaign with a strong, realistic, campaign message. She won the Orlando Sentinel endorsment and made herself available at public forums, and events. Victoria ran a shadow campaign of sorts, staying away from the voters and letting direct mail do most of the work. When her husband started allegedly using his own mail resources to help his wife, it set off alarms and the local media smelled smoke. Thompson walked to a %56 to %44 victory and faces Fritz Seide in the general.

Geraldine Thompson

Marco Pena beats Coach “P” Plasencia, Joe Saunders defeats Shayan Elahi in State House 49 primaries.

In what was a tough to call race in the days leading up to Tuesday, Marco Pena beat Rene Plasencia %52 to %48 in the GOP primary. Pena trumpeted endorsements from Governor Jeb Bush and locally important endorsements from former OC Mayor Rich Crotty and Current Orange County Commissioners Jennifer Thompson and John Martinez. Plasencia ran a fine ground campaign but couldn’t make enough noise to cover the difference. He’ll be back.

Pena will face Democrat Joe Saunders in the general election. Saunders defeated Shayan Elahi %65 to %35. Saunders had more visibility on the ground and benefited from strong fundraising from South Florida.

Marco Pena

Bow-Tie Wins. Voters choose Huckeba and platform in Orange County Tax Collector Race.

Jim Huckeba defeated two other opponents on Tuesday night. Huckeba, who says he will dismantle the office if elected won with 38%. Eliminating the office has been a popular idea with the media, and apparently voters. He’s been careful to illustrate the process to voters, he won’t be able to snap his fingers and save the tax payers thousands. It would be a process possibly subjected to a vote.

Huckeba faces 96 year old Earl K. Wood who wasn’t going to run for re-election before finding out former Mayor Crotty might seek the office. Then this happened.

Jim Huckeba

Damiani and Clarke head to November Run-Off in Orange County District 3.

In the race for Orange County Commission District 3. It will be the two top vote getters Lui Damiani and Pete Clarke. Damiani holds a heavy fundraising advantage with donations from lobbyists, attorneys, and developers and has been able to afford radio ads. Clarke despite mostly walking and talking to voters was only behind %31 to %23. District 3 is looking for it’s first elected commissioner in over two years.

Pete Clarke

Edwards beats Duncan in Orange County District 5:

Incumbent commissioner Ted Edwards was able to defeat Gina Duncan in their D5 contest. Duncan had a couple of decent talking points to go after Edwards with but not enough to convince the voters they needed a change. Edwards’ constituents would be wise to convince him to try to revive the rental car-surcharge that would bring dollars into the community and put a small additional costs to tourist.

Ted Edwards

Randolph Bracy, Bruce Antone, Jason Brodeur, Kelli Stargel and future Florida House Speaker Chris Dorworth all won their respective primary or final races.

Kelli Stargel

Ashton played “Casey Race” like a game of Chess

When the results to the Orange-Osceola State Attorney race came down, you knew State-Attorney elect Jeff Ashton was thinking “Check Mate” in his game of political chess with his former boss. He walked up to the podium and with a cheesy grin and in an a quasi-Urkel, Elf Voice said “Hi” to his supporters in attendance.

Yep, Check Mate, Game-Set-Match, Yahtzee, whatever way you want to put it, Ashton had it all planned out and executed with precision. Let’s break down the master plan that the former Casey Anthony prosecutor used to end an era that was over 20 years old.

1. Retire at the top of your game: Ashton retired at the conclusion of the Casey Anthony trial and his timing could not have been better. The main take-away of the trial that pushed this race in his favor, was that the public didn’t blame Ashton, Drane-Burdick, or even Lawson Lamar for Anthony walking out of jail. They blamed the jury. Ashton knew this. You could argue that at the retirement press conference, Ashton already knew he was going to challenge Lamar.

2. The Book will write itself, Whoopi and Rob Lowe will do the rest: “Imperfect Justice”. That’s a heck of a title for a trial that captivated a nation for a few months. The media tour was a given. The man who prosecuted Casey Anthony wants to talk? Book him. And within days after the book was released, Ashton was on “The View” and every other daytime talker. Then came the TV movie where the Ashton role was filled by Rob Lowe. Are you kidding me?! What was going to be next? Denzel Washington as Belvin Perry? Russell Crowe as Cheney Mason? The book flew to the top of the New York Times Best Seller list and Ashton gained celebrity status.

3. Don’t debate details. Debate Philosophy: Ashton’s biggest attack blurb during this campaign? “My opponent has only been in court once in 20 years.” He didn’t take the argument where his opponent wanted it to go. He didn’t talk about management, he talked about working in the courtroom. To the average voter this made a lot of sense. “Shouldn’t the State Attorney prosecute cases? They’re Lawyers. Isn’t that what lawyers do?” This worked in Ashton’s favor.

4. Take money from Celebrity status and take the fight to the air: Ashton loaned himself a lot of money. He spent it on media and it worked. Television (even though the ads were lame), radio, and every show appearance he could make. He treated debates like they were trials. In no less than 3 televised debates, Ashton used his energy to make his former boss look slow.

5. Make friends out of enemies and don’t forget grassroots: Two of the often overlooked factors on the Ashton campaign was first, the endorsement of his former foe Ryan Williams. Williams was liked during his time in the race but couldn’t find the traction to be competitive. After he dropped out, he endorsed Ashton a short time later. He was even present and thanked during Ashton’s victory speech.

Unless you were following his social media stuff, you might have missed Ashton’s grassroots efforts. He had strong phone banking efforts, a fair share of lawn signage and a strong presence at the polls, throughout early voting into election day.

6.Win and Reflect: Even with all of this in place, you’re still taking a huge risk going after a longtime incumbent and your former boss. Lamar’s arguments actually carried more water than Ashton’s and, he even recognized the Ashton plan and called him out on it a couple of weeks back. “He made money off of Casey Anthony” Lamar would say. He was right but it was too late in the game to change the outcome of the race.

BONUS: George Anthony crashes your victory party and delivers you newspaper headlines, and “morning after” media tour: This obviously wasn’t part of the plan, but the main story last night, outside of “Yoholand” was Casey’s father George making his way to the Ashton victory party, to embrace and congratulate him. In the “Casey Race” where both candidates pushed back at the notion that that case should be a factor in the contest, it could not have ended more dramatically.

You can ask Ashton if this was the way it was suppose to go. Celebrity beating Incumbency. He’ll only concede that his efforts were to “level the playing field”.

Was it? Only Ashton knows for sure but, he’s far too intelligent to believe that it wasn’t.

Was this the way Ashton wanted this race to go?

Don't Let Banner Red

Mica, Ashton, and Long Win Primary Night Races

Tonight was the night for John Mica, Jeff Ashton, and Todd Long.

Mica, the longtime incumbent was able to defeat freshman Congresswoman Sandy Adams in a national primary that pitted the fellow popular housemembers against each other. In a classic matchup of Establishment vs. Tea Party, Mica used his fundraising advantage and name ID to run a strong, well rounded campaign that displayed superiority on the lawns and television of D7 Voters.

An era ended tonight as Orange-Osceola attorney Lawson Lamar met defeat by one of his Lieutenants. Casey Anthony Prosecutor Jeff Ashton took his celebrity, the book deals, the rob lowe movies, and the media tour and used it to beat his boss. You can’t give all of the credit to the Casey trial. Ashton is a longtime prosecutor and takes that experience into office.

The dark horse in the Congressional District 9 primary Todd Long found victory in the 9th Congressional Republican primary. Long beat Osecola Commissioner and State Rep. John Quinones, School Board Member and war vet Julius Melendez, and Businessman Mark Oxner. Long will go on to face controversial ex-congressman Alan Grayson. You can give Grayson the assist in this one. He spent over 100k in negative ads. Still Long is a good candidate and the party should unite behind him.

Much more analysis to come tonight!

Primary Election Day Political Headlines: Family Fights End Today!

Tonight, two of the biggest political rivalries will reach there conclusions.

Alan Grayson will have an opponent.

Connie Mack IV will become the Republican Senate Nominee.

Yes, today are Florida’s primary elections and we’ll have a winner in the nationally watched Republican primary in the 7th Congressional District between sitting Representatives John Mica and Sandy Adams. It’s establishment vs. Tea Party and this one has gotten as ugly as predicted. It’s going to be a bittersweet victory for Central Florida Republicans. They’re going to lose a quality voice in Washington.

Then there is Lawson Lamar vs. Jeff Ashton. Sensei vs. Student. Manager vs. Trial Attorney philosophies. Incumbency vs. Celebrity. Rob Lowe and Casey Anthony. The race for Orange-Osceola State Attorney has been a the biggest political fight in Central Florida and we’ll have a winner tonight.

Central Florida News 13 will have the call tonight and coverage begins before the polls close and we’ll have the results as soon as they come in. I’ll be there breaking it all down for you as soon as it happens.

Make sure you Vote! And I’ll see you tonight!

CF News 13: Polls now open for primary day

WESH 2: (Video) After record early-vote, primary polls open

WFTV 9 Eyewitness News: (Video) Fla. voters to decide heated legislative primaries

WKMG Local 6: (Video) Tea party activists support Sandy Adams over John Mica

WOFL Fox 35: Light voter turnout expected as Fla. polls open

Orlando Sentinel: Early-voting pace could signal higher turnout in Tuesday’s primary election

Ashton Launches TV attacks against Lamar in Orange-Osceola State Attorney Race

It’s been the nastiest race in Central Florida this year and the attacks show no signs of stopping.

Casey Anthony Prosecutor Jeff Ashton has gone to the air in his race against longtime incumbent and his former boss, Lawson Lamar. He launched a radio ad early last week and has taken his platform and attacks to the highest level possible in American Politics. Daytime TV.

Here is Ashton’s television ad.

Let’s put it on the Aww Snap Meter.

Hold up. Is that a real courtroom? I know that place. It’s the courtroom at the Orange County History Center

We know real courtrooms are boring and voters probably won’t notice. Still.

Then we’ve got Jeff in the lab, wearing the same tie. One day shoot (not uncommon). More details, nothing big. The ad is filled with familiar talking points that we’ve heard Ashton say during debates and on the local talkers. Message discipline.

Then we’re thrown off a cliff.

We get a still of Lawson Lamar against the backdrop of something that looks like it’s from the “Saw” movies. Did Bane throw him down there? Then this electric shocking noise, as the ad spends it’s second half attacking the opponent.

Then again this is a small race it’s not suppose to be a hollywood affair and the ad accomplishes it’s mission. Barely.

The political math makes sense. Use Ashton’s name ID from the Casey Anthony trial, book deals, and movie dramatizations, throw in some tv/radio ads to remind the voters and paint an incumbent many casual voters might not remember, as the bad guy.

Is it going to work? We’ll see. The ad? Not very impressive.

Starts off with some solid talking points but the dark turn the ad takes is laughable

Friday Morning Political Headlines: Lamar, Lawson throw-down Downtown and Sign Stealing.

Happy Friday.

You know what happens in Baseball when they catch you stealing signs?

If you’re caught stealing campaign signs, this should be your punishment

So, here is your friendly election cycle reminder. Don’t steal campaign signs! We’ve got a video story about this today.

Also, another debate in the Orange-Osceola State Attorney Race between Lawson Lamar and Jeff Ashton. Plenty of video coverage of that below. They debated at UCF earlier this week.

Those two stories lead off your Friday morning political headlines. Have a great weekend!

WFTV 9 Eyewitness News: (Video) Video shows Orange Co. judge candidate’s campaign signs being stolen

WKMG Local 6: (Video) Jeff Ashton, Lawson Lamar make closing arguments in debate

WESH 2: (Video) State attorney race heats up at debate

Orlando Sentinel: Ashton, Lamar debate in downtown Orlando

CF News 13: Candidates, voters mingle at Orange, Seminole hob nobs

WOFL Fox 35: Formats announced for 3 fall presidential debates

Wednesday Morning Political Headlines: Lamar vs. Ashton Debate Fallout

Last night was a terrific debate between Orange Osceola candidates Lawson Lamar and Jeff Ashton. In front of Central Florida they traded shots for the majority of the hour and looks like they could have gone on for another two.

What was remarkable was how natural they’re disdain for each other is. You get the feeling that even if they hadn’t worked together for so long, even if there wasn’t the drama around the Casey Anthony trial, that they would go for each others throats on the debate stage.

It also appeared to be a philosophical difference over what the duties of the office entail. Should the state attorney try cases? Should they try to speak to ever single attorney about a case? Or should they work as a manager inside of an infrastructure.

Hands off vs. Hands on leadership. Both can work, it’s depends on the leader.

Who won? If you’re scoring soundbytes, it was Ashton. If you’re scoring punches landed it could be Lamar. See for yourself. The debate will be rebroadcasted on CF News 13, Sunday at 2pm.

This slugfest kicks off your Wednesday morning political headlines.

Orlando Sentinel: Double Play!

Jeff Ashton-Lawson Lamar debate: Who won?

State-attorney candidates slug it out in debate at UCF

CF News 13: Lamar, Ashton trade attacks during News 13 state attorney debate

WESH 2: Orlando to appeal red-light camera conflict ruling

WKMG Local 6: Orlando appeals red light camera ruling

WFTV 9 Eyewitness News: (AP) At VFW, Obama defends foreign policy record

WOFL Fox 35: Romney seeks independent probe of White House leak

Jeff Ashton Hits Radio Prior to Tonight’s Debate

Prior to their showdown at tonight’s CF News 13 debate , former Casey Anthony Prosecutor and book author Jeff Ashton has released the following ad, attacking his former boss and incumbent Orange-Osceola State Attorney Lawson Lamar.

You can hear the ad here.

Let’s break out the Aww-Snap Meter.

We’ve heard the Bi-Polar radio announcer a thousand times before but, it’s a radio ad and capturing the attention of someone who is probably driving, texting, applying make-up, and arguing with their children in the backseat is essential.

Looking at the attacks, it tries to use Lamar’s time in office against him and that’s effective.

It brings up the 3rd lowest rate in the state and while it’s effective to a casual voter the debate over which cases should and shouldn’t be taken has been upfront the entire race. This isn’t a truth test so I’ll leave that one up to you.

“Jeff Ashton will stand up in court”.. Don’t you have to? When you’re talking to the judge? We both know what it really means but radio time is expensive.

1st to use DNA evidence to convict is nice. It also demonstrates that he’s capable of modernizing the office.

Alright here comes the kicker. You guys ready?

No hint of the Casey Anthony trial. Yeah, she’s got zero to do over the future of the office but voters still link Jeff Ashton’s name, his face to that case. He is still viewed favorably as the man who tried to put her away in public opinion. His book, his face time in the media, the Rob Lowe casting, it all comes back to the trial and unless you’re a political junkie reading this blog you might not put the two together at the polls.

“Experience with the biggest cases”, “Making the hard right decision with the world watching”, “Laughing in the face of those that don’t believe in justice for Orange County”.

That last one is pushing it but, neglecting to use his celebrity now, keeps the ad from it’s full potential.

Ad brings up some decent points and uses some political jiu-jitsu but not using some reminder of his work during the Anthony trial could leave some voters confused.

Tuesday Morning Political Headlines: Fight Night. Ashton, Lamar Debate On Primetime TV

High political drama on local TV tonight.

Tonight on CF News 13 at 7pm, bitter rivals and opponents in the Orange-Osceola Stat attorney race will debate, live on prime time television.

Incumbent and long time state attorney Lawson Lamar will debate a former longtime member of his ranks and Casey Anthony Prosecutor Jeff Ashton.

This race has been one of the most intense contests of the year and the two candidates have a genuine dislike for each other. Can they keep their heads in the game on live television in front of thousands of voters?

This contest could be decided tonight.

Will the handling of the Casey Anthony trial come into play? Fellow Prosecutor Linda Drane Burdick recently spoke about the race.

This showdown leads your Tuesday morning political headlines and I’ll see you tonight on 13.

CF News 13: Double Play!

Linda Drane Burdick speaks on Jeff Ashton, state attorney race

News 13 to host Orange-Osceola state attorney candidates forum

WFTV 9 Eyewitness News: Romney focusing on military and foreign policy

WKMG Local 6: (AP) Tea Party could hold rally before Republican National Convention

WESH 2: (CNN) Poll: Most Americans ‘frustrated’ with 2012 race

WOFL FOX 35: President Obama speaks about Colorado Shootings

Orlando Sentinel: Demings sets Mt. Dora town hall for Wednesday

Lamar and Ashton square off tonight on prime time TV