These are my professional notes and research on the 2014 Florida State House District 30 Race. Dated From most recent developments working back.
12-8-13: Sullivan did heavy campaigning this weekend hitting a couple of parades and a float at the Tavares parade. No other updates from the other candidates this weekend. What is going on there?
12-4-13: Jennifer Sullivan is to be the speaker at the North Lake Tea Party meeting this evening in Tavares. Those group of voters are very important in D31.
12-4-13: Sullivan announced on social media that her team was going on a 3 day precinct walking blitz to inform citizens about a local Christmas parade.
11-29-13: The “Light up Eustis” event was tonight and at least half of the candidates were there. It looked like fun, I should have gone.
11-25-13: Sullivan put out a fundraising call on social media
11-25-13: Randy Glisson sent out a Thanksgiving email
11-23-13: Seefeldt was at the big Businessforce luncheon (herself a PLI grad, I believe) and saluted Orange County Mayor Teresa Jacobs on the venues deal. She had better luck then I did at the Mayor’s events yesterday (read HERE. Note this has nothing to do with Seefeldt, just some venting)
11-23-13: Jennifer Sullivan’s thank you dinner for volunteers appears to have gone well, she published photos on social media that featured a house full supporters.
11-22-13: I wrote a piece about Grassel’s strange campaign. No other candidates are mentioned by name but you can read it HERE
11-22-13: The field is busy zipping around the district. Seefeldt attended a Clermont Chamber meeting last night, Glisson was at a Lake County Prayer Breakfast. The last burst of campaigning should be this weekend before things slow down for Thanksgiving.
11-22-13: Caught on to this one late but it’s important for the record. I don’t see a fundraising notice, so it really is a thank you dinner for supporters.
11-20-13: Wow, a whole week without a note in this busy race! Here we are back on the radar. I received an email newsletter from Randy Glisson with a short paragraph about the campaign, and a call for donations.
11-13-13: Went on the Lake County Round Table Radio Program today, and discussed the Florida House 31 race. We broke down the election and I pointed out the strong points of each of the candidates in this talent heavy race. Please follow the Lake County Round Table on Facebook HERE
11-13-13- Jennifer Sullivan was on hand last night when D31 Incumbent Bryan Nelson laid out his plans for the next session to the Orange County Young Republicans. We spoke briefly about her campaign before the meeting.
11-12-13: Belita “B” Grassel raised $1,315 for the month of October. The majority of her contributions continue to come from teachers and retirees. 20 donations. 1 $500 dollar donation from a Teacher Union Pac. 19 small donations of $100 or less. Her one expenditure. $90 on advertising with the Lake County Democratic Executive Committee. Keep in mind she is a Republican running in a GOP primary.
11-12-13: Betty Hensinger raised $1500 in October and spent $1508. She’ll stay 3rd in fundraising for now but she is trending down and on pace for her lowest quarter yet. All of the donations were from individuals. All 14 donations were individuals. 12 small donations of $100 or less most inside D31.
11-12-13: Jennifer Sullivan won the money chase for October, raising about 7k. She is on pace for a good quarter but will need more to keep up with Seefeldt and Glisson. She continues to be the definition of a grassroots campaign, a lot of “love money” from family and friends. She got her fundraising venue for free/reduced cost as proof of the inkind donation which was smart. A big donor that sticks out? Webster Air Conditioning and Heating who donated (along with additional individual donors) $1700. The owner of that company? Daniel A. Webster. This is pure speculation.
Let’s break down the numbers.
79 donations. 5 Donations of $500. 68 small donations of $100 or less. Approx 52 from inside the D31.
11-11-13: Terri Seefeldt appeared on the Conservative Cindy Graves Show and did what she does well, that’s breakdown the problems with ACA aka “Obamacare”. You can catch her segment HERE .. It was a good spot. The hit was out of the district, TS should post on her site.
11-11-13: D31 Incumbent Bryan Nelson will be the speaker at the OCYRs tomorrow. I’ll be listening to what he has to say and lining it up with some of the answers I’ve heard from the candidates.
11-11-13: Jake Seymour raised $475 bucks in October with a $50 loan to himself (allowance?). Joking of course. He just entered the contest and hasn’t had much time, we’ll see what happens next. Seymour reminds me a lot of Eileen game from over in D42 last year. When the incumbent was caught in a scandal, she went from a nobody to a somebody. She still lost to Mike Larosa but it was a nervous time for RPOF. Longshot candidates should never be taken lightly.
11-11-13: Seefeldt raised $6100 with about $5,500 coming from PACs and her colleagues in the Insurance Industry. She’s also tapped into Tally money like her opponents. She’s on pace for an 18k quarter. 26 contributions. 11 donations of $500, 14 small donations $100 or less. Approximately 6 from inside the district.
11-11-13: Randy Glisson had a solid $5000 October. He continued his method of adding a fraction of his money to the overall donations haul as he told me he was going to do for the campaign. The majority of the haul came from professionals and pacs from Tally. There was a decent response for his 31 dollars for district 31 push. Expenditures indicate there might have been a consultant change/addition. He’s raised just over 74k for the campaign with about 67k on hand. 31 Contributions. 6 of $500, 20 small donations of $100 or less. Approximately 20 from inside the district. He’s on pace for a $15k Quarter.
11-11-13: Because of the new fundraising reporting rules, I’ve decided to just write one post after all of the candidates have posted their numbers. This will make for better content for my readers than “Candidate X raised 500 bucks last month”
11-11-13: Glisson, Sullivan, and Seefeldt all spend the weekend honoring Veterans at different events in the region. They all posted pictures on Social Media.
11-8-13: Issues Alert – A vote to repeal/change the Stand Your Ground Self Defense Law failed yesterday. This will continue to be a big issue moving into session and campaign season. Each Candidate should have a defined position on this and why, in D31, I expect the law should be favored as is. Will see what the candidates say on the campaign trail
11-5-13: Glisson attended a meeting featuring Common Core as a featured topic. Most of the Candidates are against Common Core but have different methods for “tackling the beast” a perfectly timed specific response could an opportunity to stand out on the topic. Here is Glisson’s FB post.
11-2-13: Social Media Reach to Possible Voters. Facebook Likes: Sullivan 1160, Seymour 421, Glisson 357, Hensinger 227, Seefeldt 218, Stephens NA, Grassel NA,—Twitter Followers, Sullivan 88, Seymour 55, Seefeldt 18, Glisson 8, Hensinger NA, Stephens NA, Grassel NA. The youngest candidates have the farthest reach. Go figure.
11-2-13: Glisson re-did his website. Looks good with his pitch summed up to voters without being too wordy, but the “Events” tab leads you to his FB page. I’m not sure if that is intentional or a mixed up hyperlink.
11-1-13: Found Belita Grassel’s Website HERE will update Tracker and add Photo to Slide
10-28-13: Had the opportunity to listen to Terri Seefeldt’s complete Obamacare Implementation Briefing and was very impressed. This was great information regarding the problems attached to the massive, controversial legislation, and there wasn’t a lot of partisan rhetoric. Instead, the presentation had a strong, factual base that would be of interest to anyone effected by the changes, and Seefeldt was back to her first forum form, that made her one of the best candidates in the field. This was info that I would feel using in my own political arguments. Great night for her.
10-26-13: Seefeldt and Sullivan spent Saturday Campaigning. With Seefeldt speaking at Florida Federation of Republican Women’s annual convention, and Sullivan making stops as a speaker at “Teens Take on Health” Town Hall Meeting, and visiting the Mount Dora Art and Craft Festival.
10-25-13: Sullivan posted photos from the Veterans Waffle Station event that she attended in Zellwood.
10-25-13: A lot of the candidates were in motion last night as Jennifer Sullivan and Betty Hensinger were attending the AFP Obamacare Seminar and Terri Seefeldt held her second fundraiser of the week. She posted a few photos on Social Media.
10-24-13: Glisson has started a donate 31 for 31 (October) fundraising pitch. He’s already the money leader but in a district that is spread out this way, all of the candidates will need as much as possible
10-24-13: Jake Seymour has stood up a campaign social media strategy, and a photo he appears to want to use. Will update slide. still no website.
10-23-13: Sullivan published photos from her Ladies Tea Fundraiser, the event looked successful with every seat filled and it was only a select group of her supporters. No notable faces stuck out from those in attendance.
10-23-13: Seefeldt has been on the road campaigning aggressively first at the Lake County Farm Bureau Annual BBQ Dinner on Monday and held a CPA fundraiser last night. She continues to reach into Lake County and continued fundraising are both necessary in the path to victory.
10-19-13: The Sullivan Campaign was at the Lake Cares “Speed to Feed” Shopping Cart Relay Race today and posted several photos on Social Media.
10-18-13: I missed it with the coverage of the forum yesterday but Terri Seefeldt posted a noteworthy photo of her at NW Republican Women Federation, with former Congresswoman Sandy Adams. Adams has been listed on Seefeldt’s host committee in the past and obviously still has high favorable public opinion from her time in the House and in Congress.
10-18-13: HERE is my full official write-up of the Forum in Tavares last night. I’ll go ahead and take an opportunity to write my notes on the debate right now. Here are my thoughts on the candidates in no particular order.
Jennifer Sullivan had a great night. She’s polished her message and after the other candidates speak, her energy really wakes up the room. Her policy knowledge is also stronger and she’s got no problem flying that Conservative flag which in this district is a good thing. I thought saying that Republicans caved during the shutdown would resonate with some Conservatives. There were some mixed messages. She praised Daniel Webster but he voted for the shutdown ending deal. She later elaborated that she didn’t agree with that particular vote. She said Government doesn’t create jobs but mentioned the Wekiva Parkway. She pointed out after the debate that she meant the private companies and service providers that surround that project. Still, that’s splitting hairs in an overall very positive night.
Randy Glisson had another strong outing. I think his order in the draw hurt him at times. He had scraps of answers left after the other candidates had a first go at the question. He also ditched the notes he used during the first forum. Good stuff. He also pushed his business experience and caring for employees. He’s got a good family story and needs to tell it more often.
Terri Seefeldt was visibly tired. Sharp but not as sharp. She gave strong answers to the questions but during the close she had a “Rick Perry” moment and lost her thoughts. It was endearing but she couldn’t finish as strong. She too praised Daniel Webster which is fine but there is a conflict when regarding his actions on the shutdown. She mentioned that she had been to meetings 3 times during the forum when answering questions. I spoke to her after the debate and she explained a very long day on the road. She needs to get some rest.
Betty Hensinger gave a good performance but in this pool of talent, it’s tough. She too had the lower end of the draw at times and had to agree with other candidates answers after going 4th or 5th in order of reply.
Belita “B” Grassel made the “News” of the night by not only doubling down that she was opposing Republicans in other competitive races but slamming would be House Speaker Chris Dorworth all in the name of the Orlando Sentinel. Now, I like the Sentinel and enjoy talking to their people but, I’m convinced that if she had did that at an RPOF function, she would have been booed off stage (that is actually a violation of that oath). It was my first time meeting her last night and controversy aside, I do questions her policy knowledge outside of Education (which she’s good at). Still, I’m convinced this Candidate is in the wrong party.
To wrap. No one had a bad night and it’s still very early. Great Forum.
10-17-13: Great candidate forum tonight in Tavares. Was going to do the write-up tonight but was hit with breaking news of new challengers for CFO and House 44. Will have a full post with pictures and analysis tomorrow.
10-14-13: I posted a notice about the Candidate Forum in Tavares on Thursday Night. You can read about it HERE
10-13-13: Seefeldt spent a portion of Saturday at the Lake County Folk Festival in downtown Eustis. She enjoys a certain degree of “Home Field” in Apopka, so spending some time in Lake County is advisable. This information also confirms that all three major candidates spent Saturday working.
10-13-13: Sullivan participated in the Orange/Seminole County deployment to the Florida House 36 Special election. She was part of the RV Group that accompanied former state lawmakers Eric Eisnaugle and Scott Plakon. Everyone attended the rally and afterwards Sullivan canvassed neighborhoods with Republican David Gunter’s team. You can read that story HERE
Randy Glisson also attended the rally but came with his own transport. He was incognito and dressed in “Gunter Gear”, I’m surprised I missed him. He posted a photo and a call to action asking those in the area to support Gunter in the election.
10-10-13: Sullivan announcing a Ladies’ tea fundraiser. Besides the kick-off this is the next fundraiser event. We know shes’ got the grassroots, let’s see if she can raise the money to complete the combination. I might dedicate a post to this if I can swing the rest of the fundraising news before Sunday.
10-10-13: Betty Hensinger posted $9,960 this quarter. I was anticipating a lower amount. This will keep her number 3 in the money chase but it might be her last, her expenditure picked up for Literature and Web Strategy. Let’s look at her money.
A lot of donations from Retirees and Realtors. No big names jumping off the page. 75 contributions. 5 for the maximum amount of $500. 56 of contributions were $100 or less. Approximately 40 from inside the district.
10-10-13: Today, Terri Seefeldt posted 10.6K in fundrasing dollars (that story HERE) which was fine for this race but less than the previous quarter. She’s still got over 30k in the bank and she’s a hard enough campaigner to stay competitive with Glisson and even Sullivan, should she jump in front of her with donations next quarter.
Let’s breakdown the numbers. A large number of her donations were from her colleagues in the Insurance Industry. No major names jumping off the page. 66 donations. 6 maximum donations of $500. 40 small contributions of $100 dollars or less. Approximately 16 from in the District.
10-9-13: Belita Grassel posted a fundraising number just shy of 17k, anchored by her own 10K donation to the campaign. She has been a huge question mark throughout the quarter. She’s donated to Democrats Mike Clelland and Karen Castor-Dentel, in races Republicans badly want to win, and she’s been critical of Florida Governor Rick Scott. Nevertheless her self-financing, gets her a seat at the table. Let’s look at her numbers.
16,987. You’ve got her own 10k donation and a lot of Schoolteachers and Retirees. No names immediately jump off the page at me but it could be deep Lake County or other areas. 66 Donations. 2 Maximum amount of $500. 48 small donations under $100. 47 donations were either from Retirees or Teachers (or retired teachers). Approximately 27 from within the district.
I don’t know. A former Teacher Union Chief who’s critical of the Governor and donating to Democrats in other races? She’s in the wrong party. She would almost be better off switching parties, running against Seymour in the Dem Primary and taking her chances one on one in the general. She’d still be a heavy underdog but she’d be able to secure more campaign funds, be around the like-minded, and give her message 3 more months before being defeated. To be clear, I haven’t met her yet, she hasn’t gone to any events, but her actions dictate she should take my advice.
10-9-13: Sullivan raised 13k in half a quarter (my write-up HERE) Lets go deeper with the numbers. This is a true grassroots campaign donor list. A lot of small donations under $100, a lot of “Love money” from family. We know that she’s been able to retain pros to help her out with the campaign, and that firm just help another first time candidate pull in a massive haul. We’ll see what she can do with a full quarter. 193 donations. 5 maximum donations of $500 (looks like family), 159 small donations of $100 or less, approximately 60 from inside the district.
10-9-13: Taking a further look at Glisson’s fundraising haul. There is the self-contributions which he’s upfront about, and a lot of medicine money. There aren’t any names that jump off the page at me but if they are, they’re in Lake, and outiside my field of vision. Let’s break down the numbers. 163 Contributions. 19 are the maximum contribution of $500. 80 small donations of $100 or lower. Approximately 36 donations from within the district.
10-8-13: Randy Glisson had another big quarter. I’ve got a write-up HERE and I’ll do a full analysis in the morning. Still waiting for an official comment from Glisson.
10-8-13: A commenter submitted a Bay News 9 Story with a quote from Jake Seymour (that story HERE)“As a lifelong resident of Lake County, I have attended our public schools, been engaged in our community and have been on the ground here in Lake County experiencing first-hand how decisions in Tallahassee affect our citizens,” The article points out that Seymour is only 19 years old.
10-5-13: Spoke to Randy Glisson tonight at a Lake County Event and he was really happy with the progress of his campaign. He’s proud to announce that his fundraising haul this quarter will be the strongest of his campaign (he’s already the money leader) and that his volunteering force will not only continue to help the community but begin grassroots operations soon.
10-5-13: Spoke to Jennifer Sullivan tonight at a Lake County Event and she was (very) excited to tell me that her team was growing. She’s adding both paid consultants, and even more grassroots volunteers. She also mentioned that she was going to start conducting policy studies that would pin-point exactly what issues mattered most to voters and the proven, best solutions to those problems behind those issues.
10-5-13: Got to meet and have a conversation with Betty Hensinger at a Lake County Event. She said her campaign was busy gathering petitions and building a grassroots following. I talked to her about her push towards the environment during the last candidate forum and she said the issue needed more attention and her experience at the University of Florida, Apopka Campus.
10-5-13: Terri Seefeldt had a petition gathering drive with about 12 volunteers outside of Apopka High School. A strong demonstration of grassroots near her home base of Apopka.
10-4-13: Seefeldt continues pounding the pavement promoting “Obamacare” expertise. Was a guest speaker at a company event last night. She also recently spoke at the West Orange Republican Women Federated meeting. That is a “must attend” to access a group of supervoters.
10-4-13: Calls to Seymour went unreturned. No online campaign identity. Quick search reveals ties to “Organize Now” and friendship to Democratic Operatives in the area.
10-4-13: Joseph Stephens stood up a website today. It needs work but it’s better than having nothing at all. You can check it out HERE.
10-4-13: Democrat Jake Seymour has joined the race. He is the first member of his party to do so and ensures there will be a general election taking place next November. Working on an announcement post.
10-3-13: Randy Glisson spoke to the North Lake Tea Party last night and posted a photo on FB. While, the Tea Party might not be making the same noise it was 4 years, in Lake County, it’s essential to earn their support.
10-2-13: Jennifer Sullivan appeared on the Lake County Roundtable this afternoon. If I come across a podcast, I’ll be sure to post it here.
9-30-13: Seefeldt released a slick looking E-Newsletter this morning. She writes about Petition Gathering, Fundraising, and meeting voters. She also makes the last minute donation pitch before the quarter ends.
9-28-13: Sullivan posting a story about another young State Legislator on Social Media today. “When my friend, Elise Hall, was elected to the Oklahoma House in 2010, she was only 21 and became the youngest legislator in OK state history. She truly is a great leader and has done an outstanding job! I’m not surprised she is being honored by CPAC, and am encouraged by my peers taking a stand for Conservative values. Great job Elise!” Sullivan will not flinch on any age questions.
9-28-13: Spoke with Sullivan at an event last night and she says she believes that the big issue in the coming months will be Common Core. She said the campaign was doing “Fantastic”.
9-26-13: Seefeldt with a last minute call asking voters to contribute to the campaign before the fundraising quarter ends. Normal for candidates running for every level of office.
9-25-13: Seefeldt shot out a message on Social Media today asking supporters to sign up for her email list. The link sends supportes to terriseefeldt.com. This website is long overdue for Seefeldt who has been running hard for a few months already.
9-23-13: Sullivan hit FB today asking for donations leading up to the fundraising quarter in a week. I expect this from all of the candidates at some time this week.
9-22-13: Seefeldt touted giving 7 talks to 350 people in the last two weeks on “Obamacare”. She continues to use her position as a subject matter expert on the district unpopular, national legislation to find support.
9-19-13: Sullivan posted a #throwback Thursday picture on FB of her volunteering in Guatemala. She needs to use more of that stuff to communicate experience to offset any age concerns. Glisson posted a photo on FB of him working at his healthcare center. It flexes his experience with the industry and the Dr., based on the tone of the candidate panel last week knows Health Care and Medicaid Expansion is going to be an issue.
9-18-13: Got a hold of footage from that candidates forum. It’s a week old so I can’t do a write-up but watch it with me and I’ll log my observations. The forum starts at 24:50
25:15: Belita Grassel a no-show. She is listed on finance reports donating to Democrats and still hasn’t provided background on that. It would have been a tough explanation in this format.
27:25: This is the first look I’ve had at Joseph Stephens. Even though it’s early he doesn’t have an online identity and hasn’t wandered into Orange County yet.
30:00: Seefeldt, very good on the stump. Has history in MO. Another Florida Lawmaker with strong ties to “The Show Me” State. Florida Governor Rick Scott. She’s also a recognized expert on Obamacare that will help tremendously with implementations coming at us.
32:00: Jennifer Sullivan. Not ducking the age issue. Speaking a little quickly. Can’t tell if it’s nerves or the time limit that’s behind it.
33:52: First look at Betty Hensinger. Good stump speech. Touting history in Lake County and long business history.
36:08: Randy Glisson with a funny opener about Obamacare. It’s early and he should lose the written opener and the glasses as the year goes on.
38:40: Moderator asks panel of candidates what should be the major issues we’re looking at. I’m going to use initials from here out. Stephens says banking reforms and connects it to home foreclosures. You’ll recall that Governor Scott passed a bill to speed up the handling of foreclosures last session. Much to the dislike to State Senator Darren Soto who called for the Veto. He adds that he wants to raise awareness of the state to draw more people here. He goes on to warn of incoming health care laws and also speaks out against Shariah Law “that literally allows for pedophilia with 40 year olds marrying 8 year olds and we’re suppose to accept it”. Now, State Senator Alan Hays who is from that area has been trying to combat Shariah Law for sometime and it appeals with some of the electorate but that’s a very unwise close. A bad tone, hesitant clapping as he sits
41:20: TS takes the podium. Brings ups the forthcoming budget surplus and Governor Scott’s “It’s your money tour”. Says existing fees took 12 million dollars from Lake County that could have been spent in town. Also suggests using the surplus to “shore up citizens insurance” and bringing other carriers to the state “When other providers realize that the biggest competitor in Florida is the state and doesn’t have the same regulations, it’s very hard to do”. She also hits on the problems with common core and education and malpractice insurance.
43:34:Sullivan wants to try a different approach and believes we need to concentrate on the role of government. She refers to Rep. Metz’s remarks for a second time. She believes that electing candidates with principles to do the right thing is the way. She gets back on course by referencing Common Core legislation that would support. Interestingly, she disses Anti- “Stand Your Ground” legislation being refiled next session. That scores some points in a Republican primary. Sounded a little too much like her stump speech at first but she finished strong. Getting a third issue in their would have been nice.
Side Note: State Senator David Simmons R-Maitland is the cracked down on Citizens last session and is the author of “Stand Your Ground”. Candidates (in all races) early on are using his plays like the spread offense in College Football.
45:45: BH talks foreclosures and speeding them up (like the legislation that passed last year), and hits the environment for the first time. She talks clean water for Farmers. She too is worried about common core and says it will take a billion dollars to implement it. “We need to educate our students the way we want to and not the way the government wants to.
47:58: RG says that state’s rights are what’s important and the government over reaching on how doctors deal with patients and how it interferes in education is the problem. He wants to ask “Is it constitutional?” “And how is this effecting people that work hard everyday that provide tax dollars?”. Also being more thorough with bills being passed around the legislature and making sure there morally sound.
50:15: Audience Questions:
51:25: How can we push back against the government to preserve state sovereignty? (something like that)
Sullivan: We need to examine the role of federal and state Governments and see if their impeding on our rights. She pushes education. “You have to know what you’re rights are to be sure that they’re being impeded on”.
53:03: Will you be strong enough to reject federal funding and their requirements on us?
RG: Brings up how “Obamacare” effected his health center business. He would reject medicaid expansion (like the State Leg did last session) because he would be weary of the Government offering us something at one price and then giving us something entirely different.
54:44: What is Terri’s stance on medicaid expansion at the state level
TS: “No, I would not support Medicaid expansion” “It would add 800K to 1 Million people to a system that makes up to 30% of our budget” “We have a lot of providers that don’t take Medicaid” “We’d have a lot of people with a card they couldn’t use that would still end up in our emergency rooms.”
55:00 “Do you have any ideas on how we can reconcile the cost of house hold income?”
Stephens: Praises BH (who started her own business to supplement her income) and wants to make it easier for other Floridians to do so. We want to make it easier for small businesses to compete with massive organizations.
57:35: “What would you do to reverse the trend of employers hiring illegal immigrants”
BH: says “We need to have to employers be more accountable to who they’re hiring.” “We need to look at our employers and shore up that end instead of making it just a border control issue”
58:45: To Stephens “What would you do to stop regulation overflow?”
“We honestly do not need any new laws. The laws we already have on the books are not being enforced” “We really need a lot of reform on these laws especially from the federal side”
BH says that we have to keep an eye on the City and County activity to make sure they’re not coupling up on laws.
TS says we need to keep tabs on regulatory agencies as well.
- End of Debate-
Conclusion: This was essentially a spring training game. Candidate forums are usually held for primaries between May and Aug. This is September of the prior year. We were also rolling 5 deep (could have been 6) in a 30 minute debate. That being said I thought Seefeldt did the best with the time she had. She has a “policy wonk” approach that adds some depth to her message. I still need to see much, much more from all of the candidates.
9-16-13: Watched termed out incumbent Bryan Nelson at the County State Legislative Delegation meeting in Downtown Orlando Today. It was a strong reminder that D31′s Conservative preference put the sitting lawmaker at odds with much of the county. Nelson relaxed listened and didn’t say much. The next rep from D31 won’t have much in common with Blue Orange County only the Northwestern portion it covers.
9-16-13: There was a candidate forum between Seefeldt, Glisson, Hensinger, and Sullivan Lake County Conservative Founders Club. I would have liked to have attended. I’m going to ask around for video and feedback. If I get anything, I’ll post it here.
9-15-13: Campaign Finance Research in another race revealed that Terri Seefeldt and her Chief Consultant Donated a combined $300 dollars to termed out incumbent Bryan Nelson’s Orange County District 2 race. This isn’t illegal or frowned upon but for readers it’s definitely worth noting.
9-14-13: Randy Glisson posting a volunteer photo of 14 or 15 on FB. A healthy number considering it’s not even 2014 yet. It’s safe to say with the early press and the quality candidates, D31 is one of the best races in the region. I might have to spend more time in Lake County. UPDATE: The volunteers apparently participated in community service at a food drive.
9-10-13: Spoke with Terri Seefeldt at tonight’s Orange County Young Republicans meeting. She said that her website would be on soon and that the campaign was going well. She was well received by the audience in attendance and met a good portion of the crowd that was there to see Fmr Lt. Governor and Senate President Toni Jennings Speak. During the meeting I received a notice of a fundraiser that was being held for Seefeldt this week. It’s at a private residence so I cant do a post on it but it’s proof that her campaign is building the warchest for next year.
9-10-13: Provided Analysis on a News 13 report regarding the group of younger candidates running for office. Jennifer Sullivan was featured, along with Erik Arroyo from District 47. My analysis was that age depends entirely on the poise of the candidate. It can be used as a weapon by opponents by way of life experience but can also be exciting and inspiring to a tired electorate. The on air interview was done with Sullivan at the Orange County Young Republicans meeting and went well. It appears that she will inherit a strong portion of that grassroots following that supported her mom’s congressional run in 2010.
9-9-13: Sullivan became the first candidate to qualify for the race by collecting the necessary number of petitions. My post HERE
9-8-13: Sources from the ground gave Jennifer Sullivan’s campaign kick-off positive reviews. As you can tell by my notes, her campaign has been the only one making noise recently. We are still just under a year out but I expect all the candidates to start pushing for donations as the quarter comes to a close. UPDATE: Found some footage from her launch. Here it is.
9-4-13: Local News Producer called inquiring about Sullivan’s age. Possible television story in the coming weeks.
9-4-13: Sullivan posted a photo of about 10 campaign walkers eating at Chik-Fil-A. All younger volunteers. Good number and it should grow into next year as interest in the campaign increases.
9-3-13: Finally found Hensinger’s website. It doesn’t rank well with the search engines. That’s unfortunate it’s a good looking site. Will update tracker. Still, waiting on Seefeldt to stand one up.
9-2-13: RG posts a nice family picture of himself with his family on the farm. Definite Palm Card Material.
9-2-13: Got a positive message from Radio Host Ralph Smith this morning about the D31 race, and the possibility of sharing info in the future.
8-31-13: JS announces Campaign Kickoff in Mount Dora later this month full post HERE
8-31-13: It’s BH’s Birthday. While looking through her Bday greetings on FB she actually answers a question on her support of “Stand Your Ground”. Her response “Yes, I do support the current law and the right to defend yourself and your family” and adds “I do have a concealed weapon permit as well.”
8-30-13: JS meets 10k in 10 Day challenge. Posts thank you graphic on FB. Based on last quarter reports 10k puts her in 4th behind RG, TS, and BH. Residual donations will probably put her in front of BH
8-28-13: JS has been on a 10k in 10 Days Campaign Challenge on Social Media. A goal which she will probably meet. Based on last quarter’s reports this would put her in fourth behind RG, TS, BH but she’s only been in the race two weeks.
8-20-13: JS stood up her campaign website (HERE) and posted some photos from a Daniel Webster Townhall held in Mt. Dora. and has began reaching out to voters.
8-17-13: Heard TS on a Financial Radio Talker this morning talking about the President’s Healthcare Plan or “Obama Care”. It wasn’t a campaign stop and, TS stayed grounded making sure the radio hosts didn’t overshoot her resume, and spoke well about the health care law which played a major role in session this year. You’ll recall House Democrats pushed for the expansion of medicaid and even tried a filibuster type measure the last week of session. This potentially sets up an interesting debate between TS and RG (A Health Care Exec himself) on the topic in the future.
8-16-13: RG announced Golf Scrambler Fundraiser in Lake County next month. He is currently the money leader in this race and with this large field of challengers will need every penny. My full write-up HERE
8-15-13: As expected Jennifer Sullivan jumped in the race today. What tipped me off was the hint that her mom, Patricia threw out on FB. I think her entry makes what’s an already fascinating race even more interesting. Can she turnout the volunteers that her mom did 3 years ago? You can read my whole write-up HERE.
8-13-13: Still looking for movement from the possible mystery candidates. Waiting for official word or an update to the state elections website.
8-12-13- 1027 AM: Analytic and Social Media Noise Indicate there might be another candidate jumping into this race. I’ll update with a post as soon as i know.
8-8-13: While doing Campaign Finance Research, I discovered that Belita Grassel donated 100 to Karen Castor-Dentel in her Florida House District 31 race as listed on KCD’s finance reports.
8-7-13: RG posted a picture of himself and the staff from his medical center on FB. Captioned “Proud to be the owner of Lake Health Care Center. We are celebrating 50 years of service; we employ 5 doctors and 14 support staff. I will use my experience in business, healthcare, and service to my community to represent the constituents of State House District 31.”
8-3-13: TS announces Lake County Fundraiser on FB. Her first in lake with host committee consisting of former Congresswoman Sandy Adams and State Reps Stephen Precourt and Current D31 Rep. Bryan Nelson. My post (HERE)
8-1-13: NOTE OPENED:
Introduction: The race for Florida House District 31 should be a fun one. Termed out Bryan Nelson hasn’t had any strong competition in the seat that takes up areas of Orange and Lake and the red district has a platoon of potential candidates lined up trying to take it.
At the time of this note. There are more candidates in this contest than any other State House race in the area and they’re all Republican. Why the lack of Democratic participation? Well A. it’s early and B. this is a very Republican area. The winner of the primary will be a heavy favorite going into next November.
Let’s start with the candidates making the most noise.
We’ve got Businesswoman Terri Seefeldt who entered the contest with a convoy of support, including a hosting committee for fundraising that included former Congresswoman Sandy Adams, Apopka Mayor John Land, and termed out D31 Incumbent Bryan Nelson. She’s been campaigning aggressively and has a favorable reputation with local Republicans including, key members of the Orange County Republican Executive Committee.
The money leader has been Health Care Executive Randy Glisson. He hasn’t been busy in Orange County but has been making the rounds in Lake and other areas. He’ll be a factor in this race.
Then we line up the rest of the candidates who have filed but haven’t made any noise yet. Joseph B. Stephens who has no website or fundraising activity. Betty Hensinger who has done some fundraising but no online identity associated with her run for office, and Belita Grassel who just filed a few days ago.