These are my professional notes and research on the 2014 Florida State Senate District 12 Race. Dated From most recent developments working back.
12-8-13: Candidates Peter Vivaldi FL CD 9, Edward DeAguilera FL Sen D-9, and Com. Bob Cortes FL House 30 attended the Don Quijote awards last night and this photo has been making the rounds on social media.
11-25-13: Geraldine Thompson chaired the Obamacare last night. She slammed GOP lawmakers for skipping the meeting that supported the expansion of medicaid in the state and sent out a release for the media. You can read that story HERE
11-15-13: Thompson posted 13.5k for the month of October, heavy donors include Citrus processing companies, and Local Attorneys. She’s on pace for her best quarter even though the holidays will probably prevent that.42 donations. 20 donations of $500. 9 donations of $100 or less.
11-12-13: DeAguilera posted just $1,130 for October. His current pace would make this his least successful fundraising quarter. Luckily, he’s been frugal and has almost 11k in the bank. 12 Donations. Commissioner Jennifer Thompson who’s already endorsed him donated $100. Break down the numbers. 1 maximum donation of $500. 9 small donations of $100 or less. All Individuals.
10-27-13: DeAguilera posted photos from his fundraising events. In the shot was former State House Candidate Rene Plasencia and Current House Candidate Erick Arroyo.
10-15-13: Fritz Jackson-Seide filed a waiver for this period.
10-15-13: DeAguilera raised $4,565k for the quarter. Nowhere near enough to beat an incumbent like Thompson. He’s got more fundraisers scheduled and needs to convince possible donors that this is a winnable race. Luckily, he’s been able to keep expenditures down and we’re still a year out. He’s got just under 10k on hand.
30 contributions. 2 maximum donations of $500. 19 small donations of $100 or less. No notable names on the list.
10-10-13: Geraldine Thompson raised 34k this Quarter. She had 17k this time two years ago in her last campaign. Big Name Donors Include Buddy Dyer‘s Superpac, Alan Grayson, Scott Randolph, Karen Castor-Dentel, Val Demings, and a small donation from Joe Saunders.
A few cases of bundling from Florida Hospital and related contacts, Mears Transportation, and others. 117 Contributions. 50 are maximum contributions of $500. 32 small donations of $100 or less. Approximately 53 from outside the district. Get my full write-up HERE
10-8-13: DeAugilera announces “Red, White, and Brews” Fundraiser. Full Write-up HERE
9-30-13: Quiet end to the fundraising quarter from the candidates. We know Thompson and Deaguilera have been fundraising, let’s see what the numbers look like when they come in.
9-26-13: DeAguilera announced endorsements from State Senator David Simmons, Orange County Commissioner Jennifer Thompson, and fellow candidate Scott Sturgill. You can read my full write-up HERE.
9-22-13: Deaguilera posted some photos from his birthday bash fundraiser on FB. Some of those in attendance are former candidates and well know political personalities from the area.
9-16-13: Watched Geraldine Thompson Chair the State Legislative Session today. Stayed very true to her constituency in front of what was a friendly audience. She proposed a Medicaid specific town hall during the meeting which was tentatively approved.
9-12-13: DeAguilera announces an endorsement from Longwood Commissioner Joe Durso on FB
9-11-13: Edward DeAguilera has an upcoming Birthday/Fundraiser coming up. It’s at a private residence so I can publicize it but it demonstrates that he’s trying to build the warchest. I’ll keep you posted.
9-9-13: DeAguilera hints at a major endorsement coming. As soon as he announces, you’ll read about it here.
9-6-13: DeAguilera has a fundraiser coming up on September 20th. Waiting for some sort of graphic or host committee announcement to do a full post on it.
9-5-13:Looking at past campaign expenditures from the D12 2012 race and noticed how much Geraldine Thompson spent on paid canvassers. A strong reminder that this race needs to be won on the ground.
9-2-13: NOTE OPENED
The race for State Senate in District 12 has an incumbent lawmaker coming off her first session in the State Senate, after previously being termed out in the state house. Democrat Geraldine Thompson carries high name I.D and a positive reputation with African American Voters, and while she’ll be favored in this contest, it’s far from automatic in a mid-term where Republicans tend to turn out in higher numbers.
Thompson was elected last year after a contentious primary with Victoria Siplin, the wife of Gary Siplin, the incumbent they were replacing. She cruised to victory against one of her current possible general election opponents Fritz Jackson Seide who ran a skeleton campaign with no money or professional help.
Her first year in the State Senate was a tumultuous one. The Orlando Sentinel caught her trading political favors for votes during a committee meeting, regarding a proposal on the application of Shariah law in the state (Story HERE) she ultimately helped kill it on the Senate floor but not before raising a few eyebrows.
Another role Thompson played this year was as a lead advocate for the repeal or modification of the Florida’s Stand Your Ground law. This came after the not guilty verdict in the George Zimmerman trial and the controversy that followed. Thompson held press conferences and had multiple TV appearances regarding the law, even though SYG wasn’t applicable in the case.Tthe Black Community called for a repeal and Thompson was out front on it.
She’s a strong campaigner who swings moderate throughout the election year, without alienating her base. Her strong point is education (she’s former educator) and with Governor Rick Scott awarding pay raises at the same time there was drama unfolding around common core and the resignation of the Education Commissioner. Thompson can take credit for the good stuff and stick the bad with whichever Republican she faces who try to paint him or her as a Scott follower on the issue.
Seide was never a threat in 2012. He was a former “D” trying to avoid a primary, and hoping that the “REP” would do the work for him in a general election, with President Barack Obama on the ballot. That’s a mistake. He’ll have to show me something for me to believe he’s got a shot.
Republicans need to look at Edward DeAguilera. A small Businessman with strong ties to the District and Hispanic Community. He’s got a good story to tell. He has some money (he’s going to need more) and savvy on the internet (Thompson is the worst social media lawmaker in the region). He’s got to maximize Republican turnout in Winter Garden, Ocoee, and deep Apopka, and try to turn voters in Eatonville, Metrowest, and Paramore. It wont’ be easy but the path of victory goes through those areas.
Fritz Jackson Seide