Gravis Marketing has released its first poll of the state of Nevada for the 2018 cycle. The poll, conducted June 23rd through the 26th, was conducted through interactive voice responses (IVR) and an online panel of cell phone users. The survey was among 630 likely voters across Nevada and has a margin of error of ±3.9%. Nevada is the only state where an incumbent Republican Senator is up for reelection in a state that Donald Trump carried in 2016. Roughly 19 months after losing the state by 2.42% to Hillary Clinton, President Donald Trump earns a 44%-53% underwater approval rating from likely Nevada voters. Senator Heller is also under water at 37%-48% while Senator Cortez Masto sits at a healthier 42%-38% split. The most popular politician in the state is outgoing Republican Governor Brian Sandoval who sports a strong 62%-29% approval rating.
Incumbent Senator Dean Heller trails Congresswoman Jacky Rosen in the Senate race by a 45%-41% margin. Rosen holds a 43%-38% edge among independent voters in the poll. Republicans fair better on the Gubernatorial side where Attorney General Adam Laxalt edges Clark County Commissioner Steve Sisolak 43%-41%. Sisolak edges out Laxalt among independents 40%-36%.
Democrats lead in the two other races tested by Gravis marketing. For Lieutenant Governor, Democrat Kate Marshall leads Republican Michael Roberson 45%-36%. For Secretary of State, Democrat Nelson Araujo leads incumbent Republican Barbara Cegavske 37%-36%.
The poll finds that 45% percent of voters in Nevada say that supporting Nancy Pelosi for Speaker of the House would make them less likely to vote for a congressional candidate. 45% also say that a candidate supporting the impeachment of Donald Trump would make them less likely to support a candidate. 30% consider support of Pelosi as Speaker to make them more likely, while 43% say the same about supporting the impeachment of Trump.
President Trump’s policies get mixed reviews in Nevada. Voters oppose tax reform 36%-43%, oppose a border wall 48%-43% and support actions regarding removing the United States from the Iranian Nuclear Agreement 42%-40%.
Voters support laws that would stop LGBTQ discrimination 56%-27% and oppose a complete ban on abortion 54%-27%. Voters also oppose a 20-week abortion ban 52%-29%. Voters are nearly evenly split over whether the Mueller investigation is politically motivated (45%) or justified (44%).