Today's date is January 25, 2020

Maine Up in the Air for 2020, Democratic Primary Competitive

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Winter Springs, FL – Gravis Marketing has released its first 2020 Maine Democratic Primary poll and finds former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and Sen. Bernie Sanders atop the Democratic Primary field.  Biden has the lead in this poll with 25% of Maine Democrats supporting him. Behind Biden, Sen. Warren and Sen. Sanders are at 17% and 15% respectfully followed by Mayor Buttigieg with 8%, Andrew Yang at 5%, Rep. Tim Ryan with 4%, and Sen. Booker and Marianne Williamson at 3%. Sen. Kamala Harris and all other candidates earned 2% or less in this poll.  “It is important to note that Sen. Sanders won the Maine Democratic caucus in 2016,” Doug Kaplan, President of Gravis Marketing stated. “However, Maine is now moving over to a primary system for their 2020 Primary Election which will most certainly alter the electorate that will participate in choosing the Democratic Nomination.” Maine (Jun 26, 2019)

 

President Trump’s viability against some of the frontrunners for the Democratic nomination was tested as well. In a head-to-head matchup against all the Democratic candidates President Trump would lose the state at-large. Biden would lead Trump 54%-46%, Sanders would beat Trump 53%-47%, Warren and Harris would win 52%-48%, meanwhile Buttigieg would defeat Trump 51%-49% in a head-to-head. “The last time a Republican Presidential candidate won Maine’s at-large electoral votes was in 1988,” Doug Kaplan reminded, “President Trump was able to make Maine competitive in 2016 by only losing it at-large by 3 points and winning it’s 2nd Congressional District’s electoral vote. It is likely that he will be able to make it competitive once again in 2020.”

President Trump’s job approval in Maine stands at 45% approving of the President’s job performance and 51% disapproving.

 

Finally, Senator Susan Collins will have a competitive election for 2020. Currently her job approval in Maine stands at even with 48% approving of her job and 48% disapproving of her job. However, when you put Sen. Collins and her current opponent, Maine Speaker of the House Sara Gideon, against one another Sen. Collins would win 52%-36%. The results show that the undecided voters include more Independent and Republican voters than Democrats at this time. However, Gravis Marketing also tested a RCV election as well and added the independent candidate that has announced in the Maine Senate election. In the first round Senator Collins leads with 44% of the vote, followed by Gideon with 30% and the independent candidate VanHelsing with 7%. When voters are asked for whom would be their second choice both Collins and VanHelsing are tied with 26% of the vote with Gideon taking 16%, many voters were undecided with whom their second choice for a candidate would be. “These results show that Senator Collins will be a tough Senator to beat in 2020, she has high name recognition in the state,” Doug Kaplan added.

 

This poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research and data firm. This poll of 767 registered Maine voters was conducted June 24th and has a margin of error of ±3.5%. The Democratic Primary poll of 243 registered Maine Democratic voters was conducted June 24th and has a margin of error of ±6.3%. The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by the voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing.  Questions can be direction to the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, Doug Kaplan.

Maine (Jun 26, 2019)

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About Author

Doug is a national pollster, political consultant, and advertising expert. Doug Kaplan is President and Founder of Gravis Marketing and Orlandopolitics.com, The Orlando Political Observer. Doug Kaplan can be reached at Doug@orlandopolitics.com

4 Comments

  1. Shitty poll. Tulsi is not even on the list?! Independent is not even Independent anymore?!!

  2. Pingback: Marsha Blackburn weighs in on Democratic debates, criticizes proposals to decriminalize border crossing - Spring Hill Home Page

  3. joe prichard on

    Kamala only 2 percent. I guess we can forget about her, unless she does something spectacular.

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