Exclusive Florida Poll Results

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New poll numbers just released by The Orlando Political Observer conducted by Gravis Marketing provides insight to how Floridians would currently vote in a variety of theoretical races for Governor and the Senate in 2018. The poll also shows President Donald Trump’s favorable rating is now at 41% across the Sunshine State, while the state’s Governor Rick Scott only achieved a 33% job approval rating.




The random poll was conducted from March 28th to the 29th and included 1,453 registered voters from across Florida. The poll has a plus-minus error of 2.6%. The poll included 35% Democrats, 34% Republicans, and 31% of Independent or no-party affiliated (NPA) respondents. The Poll was conducted using automated phone calls and web responses of cell phone users 

When asked “Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump?” 41% said their opinion was unfavorable while 52% said they viewed the president favorably. The remaining 7% said they were “uncertain”. When participants were asked “Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Scott’s job performance?”, 33% approved while 47% disapproved. A large percentage, 20%, indicated they were uncertain.




The poll gives some early insight to how Florida voters would presently cast ballots for both potential Democratic and Republican candidates for governor. Participants in the poll were asked who they would vote for today if given a choice between Democrats Andrew Gillum who is Mayor of Tallahassee, Former State Representative Gwen Graham, Former U.S. Representative Patrick Murphy, Attorney John Morgan, Palm Beach Billionaire Jeff Greene or Miami Beach Mayor Philip Levine. Patrick Murphy led the pack with 24%, leading Gillum by a single percentage point at 23%. Morgan had 9%, followed by Graham’s 8%, and Levine 1%. Greene did not receive any measurable response and 36% said they were uncertain. When a similar question was placed regarding potential Republican Candidates, Florida Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam is the early leader at 21% followed by Former U.S. Representative David Jolly and Florida House Speaker Richard Corcoran who each had 5%, State Senator Jack Latvala with 4% and Former St. Petersburg Mayor Rick Baker at 2%. Most respondents were uncertain however, with 63% stating they had yet to choose.

The poll offers some interesting results when it comes to potential November 2018 governor race matchups. While Republican Putnam would edge out Democrat Gillum 32% to 31%, according to the poll Democrat Morgan would defeat Republican Putnam in a theoretical head to head campaign 34% to 33%. Democrat Gwen Graham would also win over Putnam 34% to 32%. The poll indicates Republican Richard Corcoran would be defeated by Democrats Andrew Gillum 33% to 26%, John Morgan 39% to 27% and Gwen Graham 34% to 29%.




In a State Senate race between longtime Democratic Senator Bill Nelson and current Governor Rick Scott, the poll showed Nelson would win by a 52% to 37% margin with 12% uncertain. Nelson has been a Senator representing the state in Washington since 2001. Scott has been Florida Governor since 2011.

The poll also briefly touched on how Floridians feel about controversial gay conversion treatments for minors in the state asking “Do you think gay conversion therapy aimed at changing a person’s sexual orientation should be legal or illegal for minors in the state?. A total 71% responded it should be illegal, while only 9% thought it should be legal. There were 19% who replied they were uncertain.




Gravis Marketing is a non-partisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Florida. The firm, founded in 2010, has received countless awards and has been showcased on some of the most recognized news sources in the United States. For more information about this latest poll or about Gravis Marketing, contact the company at 800-371-3129, or visit their website is GravisMarketing.com.

 




Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,453 registered voters across Florida. The poll was conducted from March 28th through the 29th and has a margin of error of ±2.6%. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The poll was conducted using interactive voice responses and online panels of cell phone users, with the results weighted by voting patterns.

2) Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump?

3) Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Scott’s job performance?

4) What is your party affiliation?

5) If the Democratic Primary election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Andrew Gillum, Gwen Graham, Patrick Murphy, John Morgan, Jeff Greene, and Philip Levine, who would you vote for?

6) If the Republican Primary election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Adam Putnam, Jack Latvala, Richard Corcoran, Rick Baker, and David Jolly who would you vote for?

7) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Adam Putnam and Democrat Andrew Gillum, who would you vote for?

8) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Adam Putnam and Democrat John Morgan, who would you vote for?

9) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Adam Putnam and Democrat Gwen Graham, who would you vote for?

10) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Richard Corcoran and Democrat Andrew Gillum, who would you vote for?

11) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Richard Corcoran and Democrat John Morgan, who would you vote for?

12) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Richard Corcoran and Democrat Gwen Graham, who would you vote for?

13) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Bill Nelson and Republican Rick Scott, who would you vote for?

14) Do you think that gay conversion therapy aimed at changing a person’s sexual orientation should be legal or illegal for minors in Florida?

The following questions are for demographic purposes:
15) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

16) What race do you identify yourself as?

17) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

18) What is the highest level of education have you completed?

19) How old are you?

20) What is your gender?




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About Author

Doug is a national pollster, political consultant, and advertising expert. Doug Kaplan is President and Founder of Gravis Marketing and Orlandopolitics.com, The Orlando Political Observer. Doug Kaplan can be reached at Doug@orlandopolitics.com

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  1. Pingback: Florida Poll: Bill Nelson 52%, Rick Scott 37% in hypothetical 2018 U.S. Senate race - SaintPetersBlog

    • Judith Leonski-Ruiz on

      I will vote and have voted for Bill Nelson. He got involved when for no reason the bank we have our mortgage tried to take our home. The story is incredible and I sent all I had by fax to Nelsons office and to the Consumer Financial Protection Agency. They sold my loan and said they couldn’t get along with me. Well, if there competing offices would have been in contact they would have known what one office was telling me and would not have gone as far as they did with lying to me. I should sue them.

  2. Pingback: Poll shows Floridians undecided on 2018 gubernatorial options - SaintPetersBlog

  3. Jim Burkiewicz on

    Just like Gravis Marketing, up to your old tricks of only asking questions about the awful diseased democrat republican party and excluding Libertarians. No wonder nothing ever changes for the better and things continue to get worse!

  4. The following statement from your release appears to get the data backward:

    “When asked “Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump?” 42% said their opinion was unfavorable while 52% said they viewed the president favorably. The remaining 7% said they were “uncertain”. When participants were asked “Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Scott’s job performance?”, 33% approved while 47% disapproved. A large percentage, 20%, indicated they were uncertain.”

    The bar graphs show the opposite for President Trump.

    Perhaps a typo?

  5. Pingback: Sunburn for 4.4.17 - Chris King launches; Gov. & Spkr.'s dueling op-eds; Packed day at Capitol; Brian Ballard upped - SaintPetersBlog

  6. At 82 years of age and long term Florida resident…..before I pass on I would like to know what on God’s earth convinced them to vote for Donald Trump….what has Donald ever done to lead one to believe he was an appropriate candidate for President of one of the greatest and important countries on earth. Just what.

    • Judith Leonski-Ruiz on

      I am 78 and agree with everything you said. You said it so well. My husband and I have said the same thing.

    • Maybe the dems shouldnt have nomjnated such an evil, corrupt, murdering, liar … compared to her trump is a saint. The election results prove that thats the majority opinion. #maga

  7. Were the results so unfavorable to the website owner’s leanings they were purposely messed up or does someone need a review of seventh grade math? This is the worse I’ve ever seen. All that effort to poll and then no editing and turning it into a mess. I hope the republicans who supported this asked for their money back.

  8. Pingback: The Delegation for 4.6.17 – Insights from the Beltway to the Sunshine State - SaintPetersBlog

  9. And your next election you will probably see that Republicans will win everyone’s tired of the democratic rhetoric blaming everything but themselves

  10. Rick Scott made millions by Medicare fraud.o.. Senator Bill Nelson has long record of working for the people. He is the essence of a public servant.