New poll numbers just released by The Orlando Political Observer conducted by Gravis Marketing provides insight to how Floridians would currently vote in a variety of theoretical races for Governor and the Senate in 2018. The poll also shows President Donald Trump’s favorable rating is now at 41% across the Sunshine State, while the state’s Governor Rick Scott only achieved a 33% job approval rating.
The random poll was conducted from March 28th to the 29th and included 1,453 registered voters from across Florida. The poll has a plus-minus error of 2.6%. The poll included 35% Democrats, 34% Republicans, and 31% of Independent or no-party affiliated (NPA) respondents. The Poll was conducted using automated phone calls and web responses of cell phone users
When asked “Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Donald Trump?” 41% said their opinion was unfavorable while 52% said they viewed the president favorably. The remaining 7% said they were “uncertain”. When participants were asked “Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Scott’s job performance?”, 33% approved while 47% disapproved. A large percentage, 20%, indicated they were uncertain.
The poll gives some early insight to how Florida voters would presently cast ballots for both potential Democratic and Republican candidates for governor. Participants in the poll were asked who they would vote for today if given a choice between Democrats Andrew Gillum who is Mayor of Tallahassee, Former State Representative Gwen Graham, Former U.S. Representative Patrick Murphy, Attorney John Morgan, Palm Beach Billionaire Jeff Greene or Miami Beach Mayor Philip Levine. Patrick Murphy led the pack with 24%, leading Gillum by a single percentage point at 23%. Morgan had 9%, followed by Graham’s 8%, and Levine 1%. Greene did not receive any measurable response and 36% said they were uncertain. When a similar question was placed regarding potential Republican Candidates, Florida Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam is the early leader at 21% followed by Former U.S. Representative David Jolly and Florida House Speaker Richard Corcoran who each had 5%, State Senator Jack Latvala with 4% and Former St. Petersburg Mayor Rick Baker at 2%. Most respondents were uncertain however, with 63% stating they had yet to choose.
The poll offers some interesting results when it comes to potential November 2018 governor race matchups. While Republican Putnam would edge out Democrat Gillum 32% to 31%, according to the poll Democrat Morgan would defeat Republican Putnam in a theoretical head to head campaign 34% to 33%. Democrat Gwen Graham would also win over Putnam 34% to 32%. The poll indicates Republican Richard Corcoran would be defeated by Democrats Andrew Gillum 33% to 26%, John Morgan 39% to 27% and Gwen Graham 34% to 29%.
In a State Senate race between longtime Democratic Senator Bill Nelson and current Governor Rick Scott, the poll showed Nelson would win by a 52% to 37% margin with 12% uncertain. Nelson has been a Senator representing the state in Washington since 2001. Scott has been Florida Governor since 2011.
The poll also briefly touched on how Floridians feel about controversial gay conversion treatments for minors in the state asking “Do you think gay conversion therapy aimed at changing a person’s sexual orientation should be legal or illegal for minors in the state?. A total 71% responded it should be illegal, while only 9% thought it should be legal. There were 19% who replied they were uncertain.
Gravis Marketing is a non-partisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Florida. The firm, founded in 2010, has received countless awards and has been showcased on some of the most recognized news sources in the United States. For more information about this latest poll or about Gravis Marketing, contact the company at 800-371-3129, or visit their website is GravisMarketing.com.
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,453 registered voters across Florida. The poll was conducted from March 28th through the 29th and has a margin of error of ±2.6%. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The poll was conducted using interactive voice responses and online panels of cell phone users, with the results weighted by voting patterns.
5) If the Democratic Primary election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Andrew Gillum, Gwen Graham, Patrick Murphy, John Morgan, Jeff Greene, and Philip Levine, who would you vote for?