Gaetz Takes Early Lead in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary: A Kaplan Strategies Poll Insight

Gaetz Takes Early Lead in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary: A Kaplan Strategies Poll Insights

Kaplan Strategies 2026 Florida Gubernatorial Primary Poll HighlightsPoll Results Click Here 

Kaplan Strategies, a premier polling and strategic consulting firm, has released its latest findings on the 2026 Republican Gubernatorial Primary in Florida, offering early insights into the race. Our poll, conducted among 1,151 registered, likely Republican voters, reveals Congressman Matt Gaetz as the early frontrunner with 16% support, closely followed by Byron Donalds at 13%, and Ashley Moody at 10%. With a significant 51% of voters still undecided, the race remains wide open for emerging candidates.

Our analysis indicates a strong MAGA influence within the Florida Republican electorate, with 63% identifying as “MAGA Republicans.” This demographic could play a pivotal role, especially if former President Donald Trump, who enjoys a favorable view from 82% of the respondents, chooses to endorse a candidate. The impact of such an endorsement is deemed more influential than one from Governor Ron DeSantis, suggesting potential shifts in voter support pending high-profile endorsements.

The poll also explored voter preferences for Attorney General and Chief Financial Officer, finding a vast majority of voters are still undecided, highlighting opportunities for candidates to gain ground with effective campaigning and strategic endorsements.

Notably, Matt Gaetz leads in favorability among the potential gubernatorial candidates and has the broadest name recognition. Gaetz’s appeal spans across various demographics, securing the highest percentage of both male and female votes and winning all age groups except for voters aged 65+, where Byron Donalds has a slight edge.

This comprehensive poll was conducted using an innovative online panel of cell phone users, ensuring a diverse and accurate representation of likely Florida’s Republican voters. With a margin of error of ±2.9%, these results offer valuable insights for candidates, political strategists, and observers gearing up for a competitive primary race.

For more detailed insights and analysis, visit [Your Website].

About Kaplan Strategies

Kaplan Strategies stands at the forefront of political polling and strategic consulting, providing actionable intelligence and strategic guidance to political campaigns, businesses, and organizations. Our commitment to excellence and innovation enables our clients to navigate the complexities of the political landscape and achieve their goals.

This summary is designed to be informative and engaging, capturing the essence of your poll findings and the services offered by Kaplan Strategies. Gaetz Takes Early Lead in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary: A Kaplan Strategies Poll Insight clicj

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Election in Orlando, Florida: What You Need to Know

Orlando is one of the largest and most diverse cities in Florida, with a population of over 2.6 million people in the metropolitan area. It is best known for its tourism industry, as it hosts some of the world’s most popular attractions like Walt Disney World, Universal Studios and SeaWorld. But Orlando is also a hub for education, health care, technology and entertainment, with many colleges, universities, hospitals and media outlets based in the city.

Orlando is also a political battleground that can decide the outcome of statewide and national elections. Across all types of political contests in Orlando, including state, local and presidential elections, races come within five percentage points 21% of the time1. In 2016, Donald Trump won Florida by a narrow margin of 1.2%, but he lost Orange County (where Orlando is located) by 24.7%. In 2020, Joe Biden won Florida by a slightly larger margin of 3%, but he also lost Orange County by 23%.

Orlando’s political landscape is dynamic and complex, reflecting the diversity and growth of the city and its surroundings. As more people move to Central Florida from other parts of the country and the world, they bring their own political views and values with them. Orlando’s politics will continue to evolve and shape the future of Florida and the nation.

If you are an eligible voter in Orlando, you need to know how to participate in the upcoming elections and make your voice heard. Here are some of the key steps and aspects of election in Orlando that you need to know:

Election in Orlando is an important and exciting opportunity for you to exercise your civic duty and influence the direction of your city, state and country. By following these steps and aspects of election in Orlando, you can vote confidently and effectively in the upcoming elections.

The Political Landscape of Orlando, Florida

Orlando is one of the largest and most diverse cities in Florida, with a population of over 2.6 million people in the metropolitan area. It is best known for its tourism industry, as it hosts some of the world’s most popular attractions like Walt Disney World, Universal Studios and SeaWorld. But Orlando is also a hub for education, health care, technology and entertainment, with many colleges, universities, hospitals and media outlets based in the city.

Orlando is located in Central Florida, which is often considered the swing region of the state. The political leanings of the people in and around Orlando vary depending on the area and the demographics. According to BestNeighborhood.org1, Orlando tends to be slightly democratic based on voting results in recent elections. Compared to other nearby cities, Orlando has more republican voters. Compared to the nation as a whole, Orlando leans more democratic.

The map below shows the political leanings of people in and around Orlando. Darker red areas have relatively more Republican voters, dark blue areas vote mostly for Democrats compared to other cities in Florida, and areas in lighter shades or in light purple are areas where the vote is usually split between parties.

Some of the factors that influence the political preferences of Orlando residents are:

Orlando is a political battleground that can decide the outcome of statewide and national elections. Across all types of political contests in Orlando, including state, local and presidential elections, races come within five percentage points 21% of the time1. In 2016, Donald Trump won Florida by a narrow margin of 1.2%, but he lost Orange County (where Orlando is located) by 24.7%. In 2020, Joe Biden won Florida by a slightly larger margin of 3%, but he also lost Orange County by 23%.

Orlando’s political landscape is dynamic and complex, reflecting the diversity and growth of the city and its surroundings. As more people move to Central Florida from other parts of the country and the world, they bring their own political views and values with them. Orlando’s politics will continue to evolve and shape the future of Florida and the nation

Democrats in Orlando Florida: What You Need to Know

Orlando is one of the largest and most diverse cities in Florida, with a population of over 2.6 million people. It is also a political battleground, where Democrats and Republicans compete for votes and influence in local, state and national elections. In this blog post, we will explore some of the key features and trends of the Democratic Party in Orlando, and what they mean for the future of the city and the state.

The Democratic Party in Orlando

According to Ballotpedia1, Orlando has a Democratic mayor, Buddy Dyer, who has been in office since 2003. He is the longest-serving mayor in the city’s history, and has won re-election four times with more than 60% of the vote. Dyer is a moderate Democrat who has focused on economic development, public safety, transportation and sustainability. He has also been a vocal supporter of LGBTQ rights, gun control and immigration reform.

Orlando also has a Democratic majority in its city council, with five out of seven members affiliated with the party. The city council oversees the budget, policies and ordinances of the city, and works closely with the mayor to address the needs and concerns of the residents.

Orlando is part of Orange County, which is one of the most populous and diverse counties in Florida. According to the Orange County Democrats website2, the county has more than 400,000 registered Democrats, making up 43% of the total electorate. The county also has more than 200 Democratic clubs and caucuses that represent various groups and interests within the party.

Orange County has been trending Democratic in recent elections, especially at the presidential level. In 2020, Joe Biden won the county by 23 points over Donald Trump, a larger margin than Hillary Clinton’s 25-point victory in 2016. The county also voted for Barack Obama twice, by 19 points in 2008 and by 18 points in 2012.

However, Democrats have not been as successful in other races in Orange County. In 2018, Republican Rick Scott narrowly defeated incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson for the U.S. Senate seat by less than one percentage point. Republican Ron DeSantis also edged out Democrat Andrew Gillum for the governorship by less than half a percentage point. Both races were decided by recounts and lawsuits.

In addition, Republicans still hold a majority of the congressional seats that cover parts of Orange County. Out of the five districts that include portions of the county, only two are represented by Democrats: Val Demings in District 10 and Darren Soto in District 9. The other three districts are held by Republicans: Daniel Webster in District 11, Bill Posey in District 8 and Michael Waltz in District 6.

The Challenges and Opportunities for Democrats in Orlando

One of the main challenges for Democrats in Orlando is to mobilize their base and persuade independent and moderate voters to support their candidates and causes. According to BestNeighborhood.org3, Orlando tends to be slightly Democratic based on voting results in recent elections, but it also has more Republican voters than other nearby cities. Compared to the nation as a whole, Orlando leans more Democratic, but not as much as other urban areas.

One of the factors that influences the political leanings of Orlando is its education level. Highly educated populations with bachelor’s degrees or higher tend to vote for more liberal candidates3. Orlando has a relatively high percentage of college-educated residents (36%), but it also has a large share of residents with only a high school diploma or less (30%). This means that there is a potential for both progressive and conservative appeals among the electorate.

Another factor that shapes the political landscape of Orlando is its diversity. Orlando is one of the most racially and ethnically diverse cities in Florida, with a large Hispanic population (35%), as well as significant African American (28%) and Asian American (5%) communities. These groups tend to favor Democratic candidates and policies, especially on issues such as immigration, health care and civil rights.

However, diversity also brings challenges for Democrats, as they have to balance the interests and preferences of different segments of their base. For example, some Hispanic voters may lean more conservative on social issues such as abortion or gay marriage, while some African American voters may be more skeptical of progressive economic proposals such as raising taxes or expanding welfare programs.

Another challenge for Democrats in Orlando is to overcome the influence and resources of Republicans at the state level. Florida is currently controlled by Republicans at all levels of government, from the governor to the legislature to the judiciary. This means that Democrats have to contend with policies and laws that may undermine their agenda or limit their power. For example, Republicans have passed laws that restrict voting rights, limit local control over issues such as minimum wage or gun regulation, and redraw district boundaries to favor their party.

However, Democrats also have opportunities to make gains and change the political dynamics of Orlando and Florida. One of the opportunities is to capitalize on the demographic changes and population growth that are occurring in the city and the county. According to Florida for Boomers4, Orlando is one of the fastest-growing metro areas in the state, with a 20% increase in population from 2010 to 2020. This growth is driven by young professionals, retirees and immigrants, who may be more inclined to support Democratic candidates and causes.

Another opportunity for Democrats is to leverage the grassroots activism and enthusiasm that have emerged in recent years, especially among young people and women. Orlando has been the site of several large-scale protests and movements, such as the March for Our Lives against gun violence, the Women’s March for equality and justice, and the Black Lives Matter for racial equity and police reform. These events have mobilized thousands of people to demand change and hold their leaders accountable.

A third opportunity for Democrats is to appeal to the values and aspirations of Orlando residents, who are known for their creativity, innovation and optimism. Orlando is home to some of the world’s most famous attractions, such as Disney World, Universal Studios and SeaWorld, as well as a thriving arts and culture scene. Orlando is also a hub for education, health care and technology, with institutions such as the University of Central Florida, Orlando Health and Lockheed Martin. Democrats can tap into these strengths and offer a vision of a more prosperous, inclusive and sustainable future for the city and the state.

Conclusion

Orlando is a city of contrasts and possibilities, where Democrats face both challenges and opportunities in their quest for political power and influence. As one of the largest and most diverse cities in Florida, Orlando plays a crucial role in shaping the outcomes of local, state and national elections. Democrats have a strong presence and base in Orlando, but they also have to overcome the obstacles and opposition posed by Republicans at various levels of government. By mobilizing their supporters, persuading undecided voters, and offering a compelling message, Democrats can hope to achieve their goals and make a difference in Orlando and beyond.

Republicans in Orlando: A Minority with a Voice

Orlando is one of the most Democratic-leaning cities in Florida, with a majority of its voters supporting Democratic candidates and causes in recent elections. But Orlando is also home to a sizable and active Republican minority, who have their own views and values on the issues that affect the city, the state and the nation.

Who are the Republicans in Orlando? Where do they live? What do they believe in? How do they participate in the political process? Here are some of the key facts and aspects of Republicans in Orlando that you need to know:

  • Demographics: According to the Orange County Supervisor of Elections1, as of June 2, 2023, there were 212,930 registered Republicans in Orange County, where Orlando is located. This represents 25.43% of the total registered voters in the county. By contrast, there were 341,500 registered Democrats (40.78%) and 267,275 registered No Party Affiliation (31.91%). The Republicans in Orlando are mostly white (75%), followed by Hispanic (14%), black (6%) and Asian (3%). They are also mostly older (median age 47) and more educated (38% have a bachelor’s degree or higher) than the average voter in Orlando.
  • Geography: The Republicans in Orlando are concentrated in certain areas of the city and its surroundings. According to BestNeighborhood.org2, the most Republican-leaning areas in Orlando are Lake Nona, Dr. Phillips, Windermere, Winter Park and Oviedo. These areas tend to be more affluent, suburban and conservative than the rest of the city. The map below shows the political leanings of people in and around Orlando. Darker red areas have relatively more Republican voters, dark blue areas vote mostly for Democrats compared to other cities in Florida, and areas in lighter shades or in light purple are areas where the vote is usually split between parties.
  • Issues: The Republicans in Orlando care about various issues that affect their lives and livelihoods. Some of these issues are:
    • Economy: The Republicans in Orlando support policies that promote economic growth, job creation, lower taxes and less regulation. They oppose policies that increase government spending, debt and inflation. They favor free trade and open markets over protectionism and isolationism. They support small businesses and entrepreneurs over big corporations and special interests.
    • National security: The Republicans in Orlando support policies that strengthen the military, intelligence and law enforcement capabilities of the US. They oppose policies that weaken the defense, foreign policy and homeland security interests of the US. They favor a strong and assertive leadership role for the US in the world over a passive and appeasing one. They support allies and partners who share the values and goals of the US over adversaries and rivals who threaten them.
    • Social issues: The Republicans in Orlando support policies that uphold traditional values, morals and ethics. They oppose policies that erode the family, faith and freedom of individuals and communities. They favor a limited and constitutional role for the government over an expansive and intrusive one. They support individual rights and responsibilities over collective rights and entitlements.
  • Participation: The Republicans in Orlando participate actively and enthusiastically in the political process. They vote regularly and reliably in local, state and national elections. They volunteer for campaigns and causes that align with their beliefs and interests. They donate money and resources to candidates and organizations that represent their views and values. They join clubs and groups that foster their civic engagement and social networking.

The Republicans in Orlando are a minority with a voice. They are a diverse and dynamic group of people who have their own opinions and preferences on the issues that matter to them. They are a loyal and influential force in the political landscape of Orlando, Florida and beyond.