Ahead of the June 2020 Republican primary in Montana, Gravis Marketing has released a poll of the Congressional and Gubernatorial races. In the Gubernatorial race, Republicans are looking to nominate someone who can win them their first Gubernatorial race since 2000. On the Congressional side, Republicans are looking to continue their winning streak from 1996 over Democrats.
The new Gravis poll shows the Gubernatorial primary coming down to a 2-person race between Congressman Greg Gianforte and Attorney General Tim Fox. Gianforte leads Fox 56%-29% with state senator Albert Olszewski in a distant third at just 15%. While Gianforte leads among voters under 65, Fox is tied with Gianforte at 41% among
those 65 years of age and older. 65 and over is the largest age group expected to turn out in the 2020 primary and makes up 35% of the sample in this poll. When asked about the greatest problem facing the country, 45% of Montana Republicans say it is the advance of socialism followed by illegal immigration and border security at 24%. Among those who say advancing socialism is the country’s biggest problem, Gianforte leads 56%-28%. Those who say the biggest concern is illegal immigration and border security prefer Gianforte by a larger 69%-24%. Gianforte’s lead is considerably smaller among the 12% who say too much government (42%-37%) and the 9% who say healthcare (48%-34%).
This poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research and data firm. This poll of 433 registered
Republican voters in Montana was conducted August 28th through the 30th and has a margin of error of ±4.7%. The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The poll was paid for by MT Opinions Matter. Results are weighted by voting demographics.