Massie in Freefall: MAGA Voters Turn on Kentucky Congressman

🚨 Poll: Rep. Thomas Massie in Deep Trouble Ahead of 2026 GOP Primary

By Orlando Political Observer Staff

June 30, 2025

A new poll from Kaplan Strategies shows that Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie is facing an uphill battle as he seeks re-election in the 2026 Republican primary.

According to the survey of likely GOP primary voters in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District, only 19% say they plan to vote to reelect Massie regardless of who challenges him. That number drops even lower — to 14% — if former President Donald Trump endorses a primary opponent.

Currently, Massie faces one declared challenger: registered nurse Nicole Lee Ethington, who leads him in a head-to-head matchup, 31% to 19%, with a majority of voters still undecided.

Massie’s favorability is also alarmingly low among the Republican base:

• 23% view him favorably
• 62% view him unfavorably
  Meanwhile, Donald Trump enjoys 89% favorability among the same group.

The poll reveals that Massie’s record in Congress may be fueling the opposition:

• 72% say they are less likely to vote for him because of his opposition to Trump’s tax cuts and budget
• 69% disapprove of his vote against the “Take it Down Act,” which would criminalize deepfake revenge porn
• 58% are less likely to support him after learning he voted against Trump’s Israel policy

Beyond Massie’s standing, the poll also found that foreign policy and immigration are top concerns for GOP voters:

• Only 6% support staying out of the Iran-Israel conflict
• 52% favor targeted action against Iran’s nuclear program
• 31% support active U.S. involvement to pursue regime change in Iran
• 87% believe illegal immigration poses a threat to the economy and national security

The survey was conducted June 23–24, 2025, with 368 likely Republican primary voters. The margin of error is ±5.1%. Full results are available at KaplanStrategies.com.

As MAGA support continues to dominate GOP primaries nationwide, Rep. Massie’s brand of libertarianism appears increasingly out of sync with the Republican base.Kentucky04 GOP with write up